{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52bb8eea-a529-456f-b0dd-808a8a45180c", "symbol": "3027", "name": "Billion Electric Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.972, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.496, "architecture_energy": 52.566, "architecture_maturity": 24.281, "architecture_confidence": 82.5, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.86, "rotation_up": 11.36, "upward_expansion": 10.08, "deceleration": 39.6, "rotation_down": 66.41, "downward_expansion": 85.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.416666, 19.123636, 19.467857, 19.759785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.049999, "trend_reference": 20.711667, "distance_from_trend": -0.128511, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.053934, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.436887, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -44.195085, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.223656, "excess_performance": -0.665028, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128511, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055268, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.436887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053269, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.441951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114935, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.223656, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.623212, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 810206, "relative_activity": 0.283103, "balance": 2.623212, "dry_up": 0.439453, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121884, "annualized_volatility": 0.420026, "from_high_reference": -0.382906, "from_low_reference": 0.061765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.711667, "fair_value_reference": 32.053934, "structural_low": 17.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.059334, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.08017, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.184314, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.060185, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.092054, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.039766, "worst_return": -0.197432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.152859, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.255914, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.069006, "worst_return": 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.117364, "energy": 21.691364, "activity_lines": [ 19.613333, 20.147273, 19.834762, 20.291828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.35, "volume": 1951547, "typical_volume": 2980873.35, "trend": 21.076667, "fair_value": 32.437184, "relative_strength": -42.273561, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.735352, "energy": 32.527384, "activity_lines": [ 19.066667, 19.806364, 19.701905, 20.106129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.6, "volume": 833669, "typical_volume": 2904647.9, "trend": 20.941667, "fair_value": 32.255684, "relative_strength": -41.70505, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.11047, "energy": 43.48286, "activity_lines": [ 18.72, 19.507273, 19.607143, 19.946344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.049999, "volume": 810206, "typical_volume": 2861873.4, "trend": 20.711667, "fair_value": 32.053934, "relative_strength": -44.195085, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.495963, "energy": 52.565577, "activity_lines": [ 18.416666, 19.123636, 19.467857, 19.759785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }