{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52c40b61-6392-425a-a341-3989710c2eb3", "symbol": "S19", "name": "Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.969, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.629, "architecture_energy": 64.196, "architecture_maturity": 5.295, "architecture_confidence": 91.105, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.54, "rotation_up": 11.13, "upward_expansion": 14.22, "deceleration": 37.53, "rotation_down": 69.78, "downward_expansion": 89.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.290809, 0.293553, 0.297057, 0.298793 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.295, "trend_reference": 0.299855, "distance_from_trend": -0.016192, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.258423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.141539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.265101, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.017241, "excess_performance": -0.137594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016192, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.141539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065495, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172651, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122734, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.017241, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.243588, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 336600, "relative_activity": 0.590376, "balance": 0.243588, "dry_up": 0.662156, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028298, "annualized_volatility": 0.126111, "from_high_reference": -0.063492, "from_low_reference": 0.035088 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.299855, "fair_value_reference": 0.258423, "structural_low": 0.285, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.01905, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.010303, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.088893, "worst_return": -0.062502, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.010639, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.029776, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.061225, "worst_return": -0.07547, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.021274, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.053718, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.061225, "worst_return": -0.07547, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.290164, "volume": 240600, "typical_volume": 565910.0, "trend": 0.300511, "fair_value": 0.257642, "relative_strength": -17.830957, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.160147, "energy": 63.113087, "activity_lines": [ 0.292765, 0.295966, 0.29903, 0.300096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.285328, "volume": 319800, "typical_volume": 562320.0, "trend": 0.300022, "fair_value": 0.257957, "relative_strength": -19.395445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.008065, "energy": 73.760083, "activity_lines": [ 0.289519, 0.293747, 0.297536, 0.299117 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.295, "volume": 336600, "typical_volume": 570145.0, "trend": 0.299855, "fair_value": 0.258423, "relative_strength": -17.265101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.628548, "energy": 64.196245, "activity_lines": [ 0.290809, 0.293553, 0.297057, 0.298793 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }