{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52dae7c3-760d-4a0f-b7f1-f184c3eb4ce6", "symbol": "LOGN3", "name": "Log-In Log\u00edstica Intermodal S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.92, "architecture_energy": 35.283, "architecture_maturity": 75.289, "architecture_confidence": 80.39, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.87, "rotation_up": 26.78, "upward_expansion": 17.2, "deceleration": 46.34, "rotation_down": 33.43, "downward_expansion": 62.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.03, 27.910909, 28.607762, 29.396108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.0, "trend_reference": 30.409667, "distance_from_trend": -0.07924, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.607564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114136, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.494089, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.125, "excess_performance": -0.067952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07924, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.114136, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021027, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.104941, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017067, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.992533, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49700, "relative_activity": 0.854539, "balance": 0.992533, "dry_up": 0.911709, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043214, "annualized_volatility": 0.116218, "from_high_reference": -0.302615, "from_low_reference": 0.215805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.409667, "fair_value_reference": 31.607564, "structural_low": 26.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.004222, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002267, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.240681, "worst_return": -0.255947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.014642, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.011707, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.188142, "worst_return": -0.443982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.147183, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.18449, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.051651, "worst_return": -0.339494, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001996, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.40599, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011628, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01618, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002028, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018004, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.121649, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.019394, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.080357, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.074686, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 43.029999, "volume": 388300, "typical_volume": 480535.0, "trend": 42.786, "fair_value": 27.223397, "relative_strength": 5.811965, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 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26.93, "volume": 31200, "typical_volume": 81555.0, "trend": 31.934333, "fair_value": 32.559359, "relative_strength": -13.811994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.981916, "energy": 89.692512, "activity_lines": [ 28.14, 29.076545, 30.199048, 30.87529 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 27.389999, "volume": 6900, "typical_volume": 71985.0, "trend": 31.547333, "fair_value": 32.405961, "relative_strength": -14.482614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.729584, "energy": 87.263646, "activity_lines": [ 27.724666, 28.638182, 29.862, 30.582107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 27.85, "volume": 23200, "typical_volume": 64180.0, "trend": 31.321, "fair_value": 32.251538, "relative_strength": -13.314774, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.794908, "energy": 80.002048, "activity_lines": [ 27.626666, 28.355818, 29.590714, 30.34357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.0, "volume": 165700, "typical_volume": 69230.0, "trend": 31.126, "fair_value": 32.119359, "relative_strength": -14.322364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.702115, "energy": 65.056648, "activity_lines": [ 27.705333, 28.172545, 29.353, 30.129312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.950001, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 63145.0, "trend": 30.951, "fair_value": 31.983846, "relative_strength": -12.106403, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.140005, "energy": 53.236489, "activity_lines": [ 27.800667, 28.032909, 29.130762, 29.924409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.85, "volume": 27800, "typical_volume": 59945.0, "trend": 30.758, "fair_value": 31.851795, "relative_strength": -12.352595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.46312, "energy": 47.138427, "activity_lines": [ 27.876, 27.917091, 28.919476, 29.724344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.25, "volume": 70600, "typical_volume": 58735.0, "trend": 30.579667, "fair_value": 31.724551, "relative_strength": -12.762727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.347355, "energy": 38.004152, "activity_lines": [ 28.023334, 27.922182, 28.766238, 29.562538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.0, "volume": 49700, "typical_volume": 58160.0, "trend": 30.409667, "fair_value": 31.607564, "relative_strength": -10.494089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.920262, "energy": 35.282946, "activity_lines": [ 28.03, 27.910909, 28.607762, 29.396108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }