{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52dc741c-60ac-4ec5-b339-f0a968179c91", "symbol": "V3EA", "name": "Vanguard ESG Developed Europe All Cap UCITS ETF EUR Accumulation", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.577, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.638, "architecture_energy": 71.268, "architecture_maturity": 35.856, "architecture_confidence": 74.462, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 63.14, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 57.75, "rotation_down": 25.11, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.844867, 7.798545, 7.638524, 7.511953 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.974, "trend_reference": 7.392867, "distance_from_trend": 0.078607, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.360337, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253707, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.209499, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.088452, "excess_performance": -0.08244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078607, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036325, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253707, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076132, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.042095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030014, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.795447, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11406, "relative_activity": 1.328403, "balance": 0.795447, "dry_up": 0.673402, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016438, "annualized_volatility": 0.161367, "from_high_reference": -0.00325, "from_low_reference": 0.233792 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.392867, "fair_value_reference": 6.360337, "structural_low": 6.582, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 7.76, "volume": 2469, "typical_volume": 9047.05, "trend": 7.347233, "fair_value": 6.326567, "relative_strength": -3.540968, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.327756, "energy": 84.235645, "activity_lines": [ 7.775867, 7.718727, 7.543333, 7.443194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.809, "volume": 1553, "typical_volume": 8065.75, "trend": 7.37, "fair_value": 6.342856, "relative_strength": -3.497218, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.222232, "energy": 65.027259, "activity_lines": [ 7.7868, 7.7472, 7.584729, 7.472985 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.974, "volume": 11406, "typical_volume": 8586.25, "trend": 7.392867, "fair_value": 6.360337, "relative_strength": -4.209499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.637919, "energy": 71.267695, "activity_lines": [ 7.844867, 7.798545, 7.638524, 7.511953 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }