{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "52f6aeac-a55c-407c-a3ac-790cc2873f21",
    "symbol": "STARCEMENT",
    "name": "Star Cement Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.39,
    "architecture_energy": 58.201,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.449,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.0,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.97,
        "rotation_up": 13.58,
        "upward_expansion": 11.96,
        "deceleration": 39.29,
        "rotation_down": 68.58,
        "downward_expansion": 89.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        203.448002,
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        211.380952,
        212.707749
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 201.960007,
    "trend_reference": 213.853736,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.055616,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 210.414179,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040179,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.935045,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.058232,
    "excess_performance": -0.014523,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055616,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025227,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040179,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.194816,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10935,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166399,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058232,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.525899,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1170011,
      "relative_activity": 1.322157,
      "balance": 0.525899,
      "dry_up": 1.07891,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050829,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.235695,
      "from_high_reference": -0.343308,
      "from_low_reference": 0.027786
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 213.853736,
      "fair_value_reference": 210.414179,
      "structural_low": 196.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.004703,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000518,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.183092,
        "worst_return": -0.078422,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004581,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.051479,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.046686,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01661,
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        "worst_return": -0.075385,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.063077,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 202.779999,
        "volume": 683132,
        "typical_volume": 905949.4,
        "trend": 214.372524,
        "fair_value": 210.133479,
        "relative_strength": -10.327889,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -65.216991,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 201.960007,
        "volume": 1170011,
        "typical_volume": 884926.2,
        "trend": 213.853736,
        "fair_value": 210.414179,
        "relative_strength": -10.935045,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}