{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5301b362-1af3-4d5b-a3c7-0e94f78e2b18", "symbol": "PL8", "name": "Plato Income Maximiser Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.036, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 40.701, "architecture_energy": 57.159, "architecture_maturity": 6.229, "architecture_confidence": 57.805, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.99, "rotation_up": 68.07, "upward_expansion": 61.94, "deceleration": 21.23, "rotation_down": 17.87, "downward_expansion": 20.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.41958, 1.405437, 1.391184, 1.387226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.43, "trend_reference": 1.391238, "distance_from_trend": 0.027861, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.218982, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.17311, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.104267, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.012924, "excess_performance": -0.050782, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027861, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.17311, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021043, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012963, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012924, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.833896, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3246082, "relative_activity": 1.280707, "balance": 1.833896, "dry_up": 0.997473, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024307, "annualized_volatility": 0.108625, "from_high_reference": -0.061988, "from_low_reference": 0.144199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.391238, "fair_value_reference": 1.218982, "structural_low": 1.249783, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.003711, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006847, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.040929, "worst_return": -0.028374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.02221, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.027878, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.034665, "worst_return": -0.056312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.044572, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.030607, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048462, "worst_return": -0.026595, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.26899, "energy": 6.654763, "activity_lines": [ 1.383298, 1.380772, 1.374222, 1.380403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.404558, "volume": 2579981, "typical_volume": 2624734.1, "trend": 1.392171, "fair_value": 1.212459, "relative_strength": 1.344866, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.188743, "energy": 16.352008, "activity_lines": [ 1.391276, 1.385594, 1.377069, 1.381187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.425, "volume": 2239880, "typical_volume": 2586828.35, "trend": 1.392458, "fair_value": 1.214718, "relative_strength": 3.023028, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.064266, "energy": 40.075085, "activity_lines": [ 1.404731, 1.393308, 1.381993, 1.383305 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.415, "volume": 2046847, "typical_volume": 2507472.65, "trend": 1.391761, "fair_value": 1.216829, "relative_strength": -0.037463, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.973663, "energy": 48.478387, "activity_lines": [ 1.411165, 1.398376, 1.38588, 1.384759 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.43, "volume": 3246082, "typical_volume": 2534602.35, "trend": 1.391238, "fair_value": 1.218982, "relative_strength": -2.104267, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.701121, "energy": 57.15927, "activity_lines": [ 1.41958, 1.405437, 1.391184, 1.387226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }