{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5301e9af-a553-4a6e-8955-411c2240763a", "symbol": "BAFS", "name": "Bangkok Aviation Fuel Services Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 65.456, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.401, "architecture_energy": 71.056, "architecture_maturity": 63.349, "architecture_confidence": 74.865, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 77.89, "upward_expansion": 87.36, "deceleration": 65.31, "rotation_down": 13.24, "downward_expansion": 11.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.933333, 10.569091, 9.836042, 9.440567 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.6, "trend_reference": 9.04209, "distance_from_trend": 0.282889, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.527773, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.142505, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.55039, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.360939, "excess_performance": 0.168614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.282889, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072051, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.142505, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.299924, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.115504, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.257938, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.360939, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.157223, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3144600, "relative_activity": 2.723847, "balance": 3.157223, "dry_up": 2.273727, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060013, "annualized_volatility": 0.366049, "from_high_reference": -0.016949, "from_low_reference": 0.507369 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.04209, "fair_value_reference": 13.527773, "structural_low": 7.695529, 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"trend": 8.854004, "fair_value": 13.751205, "relative_strength": 0.012881, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.512274, "energy": 71.85301, "activity_lines": [ 10.483333, 10.085455, 9.43127, 9.149514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.7, "volume": 691900, "typical_volume": 1028640.0, "trend": 8.934671, "fair_value": 13.632172, "relative_strength": 2.194264, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.796257, "energy": 66.014431, "activity_lines": [ 10.6, 10.266364, 9.596909, 9.268611 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.6, "volume": 3144600, "typical_volume": 1154470.0, "trend": 9.04209, "fair_value": 13.527773, "relative_strength": 11.55039, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.400714, "energy": 71.056162, "activity_lines": [ 10.933333, 10.569091, 9.836042, 9.440567 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }