{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53025351-0e03-4aa2-af32-1eef9a1ff1d0", "symbol": "LONZ", "name": "PIMCO ETF TRUST SENIOR LOAN ACTIVE EXCHANGE TRADED FUND", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.025, "architecture_energy": 58.386, "architecture_maturity": 3.904, "architecture_confidence": 73.704, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.29, "rotation_up": 58.35, "upward_expansion": 84.41, "deceleration": 48.81, "rotation_down": 19.92, "downward_expansion": 11.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.992429, 48.945797, 48.893444, 48.780281 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 49.125, "trend_reference": 48.656177, "distance_from_trend": 0.009635, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.56501, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.07813, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.680303, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.014653, "excess_performance": -0.110972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009635, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003286, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.07813, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013008, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001446, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014653, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.811604, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 283739, "relative_activity": 0.642866, "balance": 0.811604, "dry_up": 0.641616, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004176, "annualized_volatility": 0.030514, "from_high_reference": -0.000102, "from_low_reference": 0.036623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.656177, "fair_value_reference": 45.56501, "structural_low": 47.72081, 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"date": "2026-07-03", "close": 48.791492, "volume": 151139, "typical_volume": 569874.45, "trend": 48.603494, "fair_value": 45.279328, "relative_strength": -8.227779, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.560546, "energy": 36.888611, "activity_lines": [ 48.894455, 48.876493, 48.76605, 48.673812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.851103, "volume": 188014, "typical_volume": 568239.85, "trend": 48.610925, "fair_value": 45.3368, "relative_strength": -9.061986, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.941287, "energy": 34.104994, "activity_lines": [ 48.882288, 48.876333, 48.788837, 48.689787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.880908, "volume": 198448, "typical_volume": 548137.45, "trend": 48.617749, "fair_value": 45.394191, "relative_strength": -7.317379, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.883023, "energy": 26.179652, "activity_lines": [ 48.874311, 48.878739, 48.812942, 48.707205 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.89591, "volume": 316909, "typical_volume": 495504.7, "trend": 48.621072, "fair_value": 45.450656, "relative_strength": -6.514492, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.055304, "energy": 23.547811, "activity_lines": [ 48.87201, 48.883523, 48.83335, 48.725151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.990195, "volume": 333653, "typical_volume": 442358.6, "trend": 48.639603, "fair_value": 45.507566, "relative_strength": -7.062506, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.098471, "energy": 35.230962, "activity_lines": [ 48.911402, 48.904111, 48.85898, 48.748965 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.125, "volume": 283739, "typical_volume": 441365.95, "trend": 48.656177, "fair_value": 45.56501, "relative_strength": -9.680303, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.024758, "energy": 58.385581, "activity_lines": [ 48.992429, 48.945797, 48.893444, 48.780281 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }