{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "530bdeec-2e16-4a73-95d6-41b64d3f80a6",
    "symbol": "00735",
    "name": "Cathay Korea/Taiwan IT Premier ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 25.316,
    "architecture_energy": 26.564,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.399,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.852,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.32,
        "rotation_up": 18.13,
        "upward_expansion": 53.22,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 36.48,
        "downward_expansion": 19.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        96.767324,
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        100.355868,
        93.923575
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 95.550003,
    "trend_reference": 84.558402,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.129988,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.684935,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.238495,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 10.888001,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.508287,
    "excess_performance": 0.128976,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129988,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279069,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.238495,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.403923,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10888,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.219327,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.508287,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.864891,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17851832,
      "relative_activity": 1.38437,
      "balance": 0.864891,
      "dry_up": 1.663202,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.094286,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.476495,
      "from_high_reference": -0.209677,
      "from_low_reference": 1.717039
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 84.558402,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.684935,
      "structural_low": 59.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.022443,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001768,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.100235,
        "worst_return": -0.020365,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.07221,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004114,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.150561,
        "worst_return": 0.005905,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.137654,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008424,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.053776,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.131711,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004902,
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        "worst_return": -0.017015,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002731,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.068566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.107464,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13193673.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 97.5,
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        "typical_volume": 12015961.55,
        "trend": 81.589723,
        "fair_value": 41.7778,
        "relative_strength": 16.266664,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 37.586915,
        "energy": 27.849993,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 97.900002,
        "volume": 30959610,
        "typical_volume": 12639304.55,
        "trend": 83.161581,
        "fair_value": 42.240359,
        "relative_strength": 17.28151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.195676,
        "energy": 27.213249,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 95.550003,
        "volume": 17851832,
        "typical_volume": 12895275.5,
        "trend": 84.558402,
        "fair_value": 42.684935,
        "relative_strength": 10.888001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.315895,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}