{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5311690a-23a2-46e8-9add-7a67a5b74bdf",
    "symbol": "WYN",
    "name": "Wynnstay Group Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 77.418,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 22.632,
    "architecture_energy": 24.957,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.72,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.013,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.61,
        "rotation_up": 51.82,
        "upward_expansion": 44.73,
        "deceleration": 25.34,
        "rotation_down": 19.95,
        "downward_expansion": 17.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        369.333333,
        365.863636,
        361.402381,
        362.559042
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 375.0,
    "trend_reference": 367.107108,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0215,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 352.903558,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.062613,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.031047,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.068012,
    "excess_performance": -0.119247,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0215,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021531,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062613,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086236,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04031,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034232,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068012,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.817964,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 133527,
      "relative_activity": 1.12395,
      "balance": 0.817964,
      "dry_up": 0.928152,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045436,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20095,
      "from_high_reference": -0.323105,
      "from_low_reference": 0.172266
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 367.107108,
      "fair_value_reference": 352.903558,
      "structural_low": 339.886508,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.47619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.47619,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006937,
        "regime_survival": 0.619048,
        "best_return": 0.122449,
        "worst_return": -0.125133,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.050998,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001681,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.088235,
        "worst_return": -0.265253,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.031315,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120351,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.151537,
        "worst_return": -0.282034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.003087,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.110371,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.197381,
        "worst_return": -0.367614,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "return": -0.0625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.071271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "return": -0.028369,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.080292,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 355.951555,
        "relative_strength": -4.841999,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 98055,
        "typical_volume": 138859.25,
        "trend": 364.02508,
        "fair_value": 355.491142,
        "relative_strength": -1.637348,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 0.398315,
        "energy": 14.273648,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 367.5,
        "volume": 96930,
        "typical_volume": 136331.0,
        "trend": 365.345397,
        "fair_value": 354.822638,
        "relative_strength": -4.225888,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.755702,
        "energy": 26.748169,
        "activity_lines": [
          366.5,
          361.363636,
          358.558337,
          362.142754
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 365.0,
        "volume": 125526,
        "typical_volume": 133500.35,
        "trend": 366.599041,
        "fair_value": 354.15411,
        "relative_strength": -5.780065,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.494961,
        "energy": 22.378423,
        "activity_lines": [
          367.333333,
          362.227273,
          359.086331,
          362.12047
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 365.0,
        "volume": 85081,
        "typical_volume": 124951.0,
        "trend": 366.603102,
        "fair_value": 353.517584,
        "relative_strength": -6.565228,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.032783,
        "energy": 25.353945,
        "activity_lines": [
          367.166667,
          363.090909,
          359.732753,
          362.017307
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 375.0,
        "volume": 133527,
        "typical_volume": 118801.6,
        "trend": 367.107108,
        "fair_value": 352.903558,
        "relative_strength": -4.031047,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.631702,
        "energy": 24.956862,
        "activity_lines": [
          369.333333,
          365.863636,
          361.402381,
          362.559042
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}