{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53119caa-df1b-4071-8f1a-414ee9e122a0", "symbol": "GYRE", "name": "Gyre Therapeutics Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.416, "architecture_energy": 37.269, "architecture_maturity": 26.375, "architecture_confidence": 93.455, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.84, "rotation_up": 20.94, "upward_expansion": 7.09, "deceleration": 44.59, "rotation_down": 50.87, "downward_expansion": 75.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.186, 6.294545, 6.449619, 6.697688 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.67, "trend_reference": 7.055833, "distance_from_trend": -0.054683, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.748231, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.379433, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.783279, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.153553, "excess_performance": -0.341007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054683, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052548, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.379433, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083297, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.207833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003613, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.153553, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.897643, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 269301, "relative_activity": 0.659796, "balance": 0.897643, "dry_up": 0.64044, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112, "annualized_volatility": 0.535584, "from_high_reference": -0.291932, "from_low_reference": 0.226103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.055833, "fair_value_reference": 10.748231, "structural_low": 5.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.006211, "positive_rate": 0.516129, "directional_follow_through": 0.483871, "median_excess_return": -0.024095, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 2.80344, "worst_return": -0.620061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.070352, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.122552, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 2.653444, "worst_return": -0.832462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.078652, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.18115, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.472489, "worst_return": -0.809064, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.899782, "energy": 22.651413, "activity_lines": [ 6.478667, 6.375273, 6.636667, 6.890925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.94, "volume": 246964, "typical_volume": 461696.6, "trend": 7.1155, "fair_value": 10.732798, "relative_strength": -26.307995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.303906, "energy": 29.81185, "activity_lines": [ 6.295333, 6.306364, 6.54869, 6.812247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.75, "volume": 235058, "typical_volume": 438637.05, "trend": 7.080167, "fair_value": 10.737744, "relative_strength": -28.624742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.15319, "energy": 49.66274, "activity_lines": [ 6.069333, 6.214, 6.451048, 6.724151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.67, "volume": 269301, "typical_volume": 408157.8, "trend": 7.055833, "fair_value": 10.748231, "relative_strength": -20.783279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.415786, "energy": 37.268982, "activity_lines": [ 6.186, 6.294545, 6.449619, 6.697688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }