{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53213682-404e-4542-b112-e35dc50d6b81", "symbol": "TGGR", "name": "TD Active Global Equity Growth ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.813, "architecture_energy": 60.093, "architecture_maturity": 74.842, "architecture_confidence": 73.687, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 53.49, "upward_expansion": 83.73, "deceleration": 68.12, "rotation_down": 28.31, "downward_expansion": 10.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.498, 34.383995, 33.69902, 32.962071 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.009998, "trend_reference": 32.204926, "distance_from_trend": 0.087101, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.535501, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271449, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.599154, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.110464, "excess_performance": -0.009957, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087101, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036745, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.271449, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049058, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.005992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029779, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.110464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.186335, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12900, "relative_activity": 1.407529, "balance": 2.186335, "dry_up": 1.39389, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023017, "annualized_volatility": 0.145754, "from_high_reference": -0.008496, "from_low_reference": 0.24382 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.204926, "fair_value_reference": 27.535501, "structural_low": 28.809999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.014352, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.000584, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.062948, "worst_return": -0.063063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.039915, "positive_rate": 0.846154, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": 0.005176, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.11112, "worst_return": -0.161285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.080768, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.057864, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.156732, "worst_return": -0.194397, "sufficient": true }, { 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-0.856457, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.746, "energy": 61.83185, "activity_lines": [ 34.238667, 34.071881, 33.270701, 32.615356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.450001, "volume": 18800, "typical_volume": 9160.0, "trend": 32.104155, "fair_value": 27.449016, "relative_strength": 0.908142, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.348731, "energy": 57.255948, "activity_lines": [ 34.296, 34.193656, 33.469672, 32.774598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.009998, "volume": 12900, "typical_volume": 9165.0, "trend": 32.204926, "fair_value": 27.535501, "relative_strength": -0.599154, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.81337, "energy": 60.093443, "activity_lines": [ 34.498, 34.383995, 33.69902, 32.962071 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }