{ "ticker": { "uuid": "532aa614-e927-42ab-bed3-34c182627cea", "symbol": "UFO", "name": "UFO Moviez India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.634, "architecture_energy": 56.154, "architecture_maturity": 6.324, "architecture_confidence": 75.103, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.51, "rotation_up": 7.4, "upward_expansion": 18.39, "deceleration": 44.09, "rotation_down": 67.52, "downward_expansion": 79.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.298667, 68.83, 70.562429, 70.340946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 68.760002, "trend_reference": 70.817, "distance_from_trend": -0.029047, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 97.432436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.29428, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.925256, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.074936, "excess_performance": -0.031227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029047, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051308, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.29428, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049534, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098204, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.074936, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.567029, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 192661, "relative_activity": 0.678926, "balance": 0.567029, "dry_up": 0.755248, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063129, "annualized_volatility": 0.318539, "from_high_reference": -0.260407, "from_low_reference": 0.279256 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.817, "fair_value_reference": 97.432436, "structural_low": 53.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.005387, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.006063, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.123061, "worst_return": -0.184238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.118142, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.097665, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.245269, "worst_return": -0.27901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.058905, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.145658, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.07868, "worst_return": -0.414459, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -51.697753, "energy": 32.322867, "activity_lines": [ 69.898666, 71.334909, 71.469619, 71.268796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.019997, "volume": 112633, "typical_volume": 299304.75, "trend": 71.762333, "fair_value": 97.826923, "relative_strength": -5.642222, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.585695, "energy": 48.780275, "activity_lines": [ 68.607999, 70.318545, 71.171143, 70.925505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.150002, "volume": 281277, "typical_volume": 293599.05, "trend": 71.208334, "fair_value": 97.6125, "relative_strength": -10.34351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.049676, "energy": 60.653525, "activity_lines": [ 67.118666, 69.170727, 70.697238, 70.498903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.760002, "volume": 192661, "typical_volume": 283773.2, "trend": 70.817, "fair_value": 97.432436, "relative_strength": -5.925256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.633541, "energy": 56.153884, "activity_lines": [ 67.298667, 68.83, 70.562429, 70.340946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }