{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "532af63b-fb43-4af5-92f8-4d63d88b5501",
    "symbol": "6416",
    "name": "CASwell, Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 81.942,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.441,
    "architecture_energy": 56.485,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.247,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.24,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.68,
        "rotation_up": 65.43,
        "upward_expansion": 84.41,
        "deceleration": 47.97,
        "rotation_down": 11.68,
        "downward_expansion": 11.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.427424,
        92.159671,
        88.396967,
        86.07311
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 93.599998,
    "trend_reference": 83.902052,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.115587,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 96.628618,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031343,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.556908,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130928,
    "excess_performance": -0.310445,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115587,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034002,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031343,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068517,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195569,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099612,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130928,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.697046,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3601643,
      "relative_activity": 1.599948,
      "balance": 0.697046,
      "dry_up": 2.128339,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.110255,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.514312,
      "from_high_reference": -0.125073,
      "from_low_reference": 0.283226
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 83.902052,
      "fair_value_reference": 96.628618,
      "structural_low": 73.427449,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.060317,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049329,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
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        "worst_return": -0.149286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.22973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.250539,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.160195,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1772196.5,
        "trend": 82.968157,
        "fair_value": 96.396231,
        "relative_strength": -12.004348,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 77.461895,
        "energy": 72.700662,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 87.099998,
        "volume": 4817746,
        "typical_volume": 1962578.7,
        "trend": 83.096484,
        "fair_value": 96.415409,
        "relative_strength": -22.049095,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 55.523761,
        "energy": 58.639059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 103.0,
        "volume": 3394333,
        "typical_volume": 2102583.0,
        "trend": 83.608928,
        "fair_value": 96.545358,
        "relative_strength": -9.323829,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.071768,
        "energy": 69.844426,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.910849,
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          87.537081,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 93.599998,
        "volume": 3601643,
        "typical_volume": 2251099.9,
        "trend": 83.902052,
        "fair_value": 96.628618,
        "relative_strength": -19.556908,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.44065,
        "energy": 56.485134,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}