{ "ticker": { "uuid": "533e8ce6-8a41-42e9-b1b3-94737dc87f1a", "symbol": "SSFO34", "name": "Salesforce, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.807, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -7.96, "architecture_energy": 10.945, "architecture_maturity": 33.228, "architecture_confidence": 42.656, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.64, "rotation_up": 36.53, "upward_expansion": 21.37, "deceleration": 41.17, "rotation_down": 17.64, "downward_expansion": 53.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.928667, 39.736779, 39.941148, 40.906663 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 43.57, "trend_reference": 42.911335, "distance_from_trend": 0.015349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.329857, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.289579, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.471995, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027816, "excess_performance": 0.029232, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015349, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143436, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.289579, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043031, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.217382, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027816, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.545492, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165660, "relative_activity": 1.954294, "balance": 2.545492, "dry_up": 0.884416, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08767, "annualized_volatility": 0.424466, "from_high_reference": -0.358216, "from_low_reference": 0.22422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.911335, "fair_value_reference": 61.329857, "structural_low": 35.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.007962, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.005367, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.188884, "worst_return": -0.165786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.169286, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.135339, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.254682, "worst_return": -0.281677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003916, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.177137, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.478249, "worst_return": -0.443877, "sufficient": true }, 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46.102591, "fair_value": 61.50536, "relative_strength": -35.195086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.22072, "energy": 60.043017, "activity_lines": [ 37.758666, 39.023234, 40.083592, 42.005007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.310001, "volume": 26288, "typical_volume": 84863.85, "trend": 45.246139, "fair_value": 61.446285, "relative_strength": -30.084443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.70459, "energy": 41.275403, "activity_lines": [ 38.293333, 38.934587, 39.873721, 41.566776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.799999, "volume": 16973, "typical_volume": 83397.2, "trend": 44.302414, "fair_value": 61.380958, "relative_strength": -31.699125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.772379, "energy": 36.988821, "activity_lines": [ 38.286, 38.608094, 39.554107, 41.08638 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.53, "volume": 90957, "typical_volume": 77201.9, "trend": 43.583191, "fair_value": 61.346267, "relative_strength": -25.524435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.813574, "energy": 18.542841, "activity_lines": [ 39.412, 38.988179, 39.637501, 40.907514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.57, "volume": 165660, "typical_volume": 84767.2, "trend": 42.911335, "fair_value": 61.329857, "relative_strength": -18.471995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.959576, "energy": 10.944938, "activity_lines": [ 40.928667, 39.736779, 39.941148, 40.906663 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }