{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5351f20a-5ced-4bfe-b7ad-af64f57655e2", "symbol": "301596", "name": "Reach Machinery Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.652, "architecture_energy": 66.305, "architecture_maturity": 19.142, "architecture_confidence": 82.744, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.6, "rotation_up": 12.24, "upward_expansion": 16.8, "deceleration": 34.8, "rotation_down": 67.52, "downward_expansion": 85.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.384666, 49.387348, 52.052888, 55.146669 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 49.119999, "trend_reference": 60.587549, "distance_from_trend": -0.189272, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 71.809904, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.315972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.691509, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.339874, "excess_performance": -0.347273, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189272, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111742, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.315972, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012859, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326915, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143996, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.339874, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.287183, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20987802, "relative_activity": 1.960869, "balance": 1.287183, "dry_up": 1.299949, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193439, "annualized_volatility": 0.925968, "from_high_reference": -0.509021, "from_low_reference": 0.289916 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.587549, "fair_value_reference": 71.809904, 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"volume": 20987802, "typical_volume": 10703318.1, "trend": 60.587549, "fair_value": 71.809904, "relative_strength": -32.691509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.652355, "energy": 66.305459, "activity_lines": [ 45.384666, 49.387348, 52.052888, 55.146669 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }