{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5360a3fb-357b-41e7-b8bc-8a45ae20f230",
    "symbol": "XNZW",
    "name": "Xtrackers World Net Zero Pathway Paris Aligned UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.508,
    "architecture_energy": 68.806,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.42,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.838,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.94,
        "rotation_up": 54.81,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 70.71,
        "rotation_down": 28.82,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.482666,
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        56.095107
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 59.720001,
    "trend_reference": 54.7105,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091564,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.358141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261029,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.886314,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.139695,
    "excess_performance": 0.075055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091564,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037661,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261029,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044999,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038863,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04603,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139695,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.097514,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1233,
      "relative_activity": 1.837693,
      "balance": 7.097514,
      "dry_up": 0.811536,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017273,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.123401,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001672,
      "from_low_reference": 0.227165
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.7105,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.358141,
      "structural_low": 49.005001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.008148,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00169,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.06124,
        "worst_return": -0.087038,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.066269,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.010975,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.013469,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.071726,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-12-08",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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          52.215365
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 55.549999,
        "volume": 927,
        "typical_volume": 1020.4,
        "trend": 52.194833,
        "fair_value": 45.68141,
        "relative_strength": 8.489265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.991377,
        "energy": 83.915114,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.582762,
          52.442408
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 56.16,
        "volume": 426,
        "typical_volume": 1021.95,
        "trend": 52.3815,
        "fair_value": 45.805833,
        "relative_strength": 11.103655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.595259,
        "energy": 89.212248,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.15,
          53.769,
          52.935785,
          52.698226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 56.970001,
        "volume": 1018,
        "typical_volume": 1012.85,
        "trend": 52.5615,
        "fair_value": 45.934391,
        "relative_strength": 8.125005,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.790491,
        "energy": 92.210684,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.884,
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          53.347095,
          52.994258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 57.360001,
        "volume": 4421,
        "typical_volume": 1188.4,
        "trend": 52.724833,
        "fair_value": 46.061667,
        "relative_strength": 7.595363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.783253,
        "energy": 92.827947,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.554,
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          53.772405,
          53.303839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.130001,
        "volume": 101,
        "typical_volume": 1084.65,
        "trend": 52.931167,
        "fair_value": 46.188269,
        "relative_strength": 8.30764,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.193881,
        "energy": 89.195724,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.924667,
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          53.588043
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 56.91,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1044.25,
        "trend": 53.1055,
        "fair_value": 46.30968,
        "relative_strength": 8.113404,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.796682,
        "energy": 85.542806,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 57.939999,
        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 46.443141,
        "relative_strength": 8.2016,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 88.770702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 57.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 946.55,
        "trend": 53.514167,
        "fair_value": 46.568141,
        "relative_strength": 8.098387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.747262,
        "energy": 73.362921,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.387333,
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          55.265786,
          54.41429
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 58.369999,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 923.7,
        "trend": 53.7135,
        "fair_value": 46.703494,
        "relative_strength": 5.052681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.049278,
        "energy": 76.063481,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.732,
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          54.72757
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 58.610001,
        "volume": 296,
        "typical_volume": 907.45,
        "trend": 53.943833,
        "fair_value": 46.838429,
        "relative_strength": 8.118721,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.014293,
        "energy": 84.516638,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.089333,
          57.655636,
          56.086262,
          55.043473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 57.98,
        "volume": 156,
        "typical_volume": 900.65,
        "trend": 54.127833,
        "fair_value": 46.965545,
        "relative_strength": 7.631305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.835047,
        "energy": 79.05466,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.138,
          57.791273,
          56.405286,
          55.303871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.889999,
        "volume": 479,
        "typical_volume": 825.5,
        "trend": 54.3175,
        "fair_value": 47.088462,
        "relative_strength": 6.026117,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.354355,
        "energy": 68.375263,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.085333,
          57.866363,
          56.690214,
          55.546591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.599998,
        "volume": 310,
        "typical_volume": 653.7,
        "trend": 54.5005,
        "fair_value": 47.215353,
        "relative_strength": 3.128392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.095298,
        "energy": 59.732508,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.939332,
          57.857272,
          56.921333,
          55.758365
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59.720001,
        "volume": 1233,
        "typical_volume": 670.95,
        "trend": 54.7105,
        "fair_value": 47.358141,
        "relative_strength": 3.886314,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.508357,
        "energy": 68.805712,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.482666,
          58.222182,
          57.325309,
          56.095107
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}