{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5364827b-39ad-43d0-aec6-d5e2ecfb8316",
    "symbol": "HCC",
    "name": "Hindustan Construction Company Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 55.364,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 4.53,
    "architecture_energy": 23.331,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.296,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.202,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.8,
        "rotation_up": 13.13,
        "upward_expansion": 52.59,
        "deceleration": 93.91,
        "rotation_down": 48.57,
        "downward_expansion": 25.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.418667,
        22.773455,
        22.696762,
        21.592301
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 20.52,
    "trend_reference": 20.444333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003701,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.814832,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.334087,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.957588,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0766,
    "excess_performance": 0.120309,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003701,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045912,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.334087,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0972,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069576,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078039,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0766,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.518096,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 94541113,
      "relative_activity": 0.739449,
      "balance": 0.518096,
      "dry_up": 0.733249,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.100202,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.490744,
      "from_high_reference": -0.316,
      "from_low_reference": 0.503297
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.444333,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.814832,
      "structural_low": 13.65,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.041298,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00294,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.305772,
        "worst_return": -0.145907,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.029557,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.451032,
        "worst_return": -0.187302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.271386,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.104203,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.874552,
        "worst_return": -0.361021,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.211823,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.141096,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.430108,
        "worst_return": -0.187611,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.146001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.208448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.001433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "return": 0.056431,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.43,
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        "typical_volume": 129828520.1,
        "trend": 20.297667,
        "fair_value": 30.835922,
        "relative_strength": -0.522958,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 34.609355,
        "energy": 24.901618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.440001,
        "volume": 78713899,
        "typical_volume": 129315567.0,
        "trend": 20.366,
        "fair_value": 30.841627,
        "relative_strength": -2.633982,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.62937,
        "energy": 27.070212,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.176,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.52,
        "volume": 94541113,
        "typical_volume": 127853528.8,
        "trend": 20.444333,
        "fair_value": 30.814832,
        "relative_strength": -6.957588,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.529764,
        "energy": 23.330807,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}