{ "ticker": { "uuid": "537aaee6-9569-49c5-b605-e6b4cd2ce2c4", "symbol": "NAVA", "name": "Nava Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.033, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.075, "architecture_energy": 47.88, "architecture_maturity": 5.465, "architecture_confidence": 68.87, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.73, "rotation_up": 18.57, "upward_expansion": 27.7, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 62.04, "downward_expansion": 52.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 566.690961, 580.135484, 598.846549, 598.70376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 581.849976, "trend_reference": 592.703911, "distance_from_trend": -0.018313, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 447.073815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301463, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.262397, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.034492, "excess_performance": 0.078201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018313, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018824, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.034839, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.04203, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.329724, "worst_return": -0.068807, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.098968, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.090146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.359773, "worst_return": 0.071085, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.334867, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.32857, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.404128, "worst_return": 0.14991, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.677448, 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.240583, "energy": 52.892229, "activity_lines": [ 565.282133, 581.420351, 601.244967, 599.403799 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 581.849976, "volume": 1473639, "typical_volume": 2969425.1, "trend": 592.703911, "fair_value": 447.073815, "relative_strength": -2.262397, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.075296, "energy": 47.879994, "activity_lines": [ 566.690961, 580.135484, 598.846549, 598.70376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }