{ "ticker": { "uuid": "537c37bf-7a65-43ea-8dcb-dddee2b3d210", "symbol": "CLB", "name": "Core Laboratories NV", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.339, "architecture_energy": 51.657, "architecture_maturity": 67.406, "architecture_confidence": 90.59, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.29, "rotation_up": 27.58, "upward_expansion": 8.99, "deceleration": 57.12, "rotation_down": 47.34, "downward_expansion": 79.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.206667, 11.350909, 12.315226, 13.382179 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.35, "trend_reference": 14.936997, "distance_from_trend": -0.240142, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.473148, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.9913, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.38768, "excess_performance": -0.513305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.240142, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092767, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.311, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06245, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.309913, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120769, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.38768, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.123499, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2645647, "relative_activity": 0.782424, "balance": 1.123499, "dry_up": 1.09301, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116265, "annualized_volatility": 0.483596, "from_high_reference": -0.441815, "from_low_reference": 0.169927 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.936997, "fair_value_reference": 16.473148, "structural_low": 9.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.036868, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.06585, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.433976, "worst_return": -0.20378, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.049922, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.123028, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.266114, "worst_return": -0.35856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.026892, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.012774, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.32733, "worst_return": -0.316903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.576345, "energy": 72.338305, "activity_lines": [ 11.280667, 11.86, 13.08816, 14.187687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.67, "volume": 4182978, "typical_volume": 3212455.85, "trend": 15.399786, "fair_value": 16.657053, "relative_strength": -26.039414, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.310247, "energy": 53.673087, "activity_lines": [ 11.396667, 11.733455, 12.851826, 13.937015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.64, "volume": 4739700, "typical_volume": 3352354.25, "trend": 15.190181, "fair_value": 16.564544, "relative_strength": -33.127814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.591456, "energy": 59.827849, "activity_lines": [ 11.170667, 11.445091, 12.53753, 13.629932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.35, "volume": 2645647, "typical_volume": 3381345.9, "trend": 14.936997, "fair_value": 16.473148, "relative_strength": -30.9913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.338761, "energy": 51.657474, "activity_lines": [ 11.206667, 11.350909, 12.315226, 13.382179 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }