{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "537ee44a-762e-4959-8cdd-22824afadba8",
    "symbol": "H6D0",
    "name": "Haleon plc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 77.076,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 27.361,
    "architecture_energy": 56.616,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.945,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.35,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.38,
        "rotation_up": 68.43,
        "upward_expansion": 54.22,
        "deceleration": 18.86,
        "rotation_down": 14.4,
        "downward_expansion": 26.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        4.1332,
        4.158319
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.318,
    "trend_reference": 4.215503,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024314,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.121783,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047605,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.893198,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.052462,
    "excess_performance": -0.117102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024314,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00041,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047605,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097979,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038932,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056239,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052462,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.136712,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 179956,
      "relative_activity": 2.474124,
      "balance": 1.136712,
      "dry_up": 1.764667,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033652,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.086352,
      "from_low_reference": 0.164219
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.215503,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.121783,
      "structural_low": 3.808,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.024801,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.024801,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.008657,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.008657,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.001673,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 3.906,
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        "typical_volume": 108941.5,
        "trend": 4.217231,
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        "relative_strength": -10.365911,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 96973.7,
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        "fair_value": 4.089938,
        "relative_strength": -8.439943,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.175132,
        "energy": 73.616206,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 89050.95,
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        "energy": 54.396961,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 75.593634,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 80979.65,
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        "relative_strength": -3.658704,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.087015,
        "energy": 42.276056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 6909,
        "typical_volume": 74816.3,
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        "fair_value": 4.100866,
        "relative_strength": -3.849483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.21279,
        "energy": 18.460503,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.258,
        "volume": 42131,
        "typical_volume": 69472.25,
        "trend": 4.201566,
        "fair_value": 4.105663,
        "relative_strength": -0.484278,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -0.260455,
        "energy": 20.444196,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.12776
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.41,
        "volume": 120237,
        "typical_volume": 62479.05,
        "trend": 4.207834,
        "fair_value": 4.10982,
        "relative_strength": 3.929156,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.423617,
        "energy": 48.820089,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.249933,
          4.121255,
          4.078519,
          4.141208
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.294,
        "volume": 53823,
        "typical_volume": 63611.75,
        "trend": 4.210004,
        "fair_value": 4.113145,
        "relative_strength": 0.101242,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.46833,
        "energy": 44.149194,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.294267,
          4.167418,
          4.096073,
          4.146767
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.283,
        "volume": 159398,
        "typical_volume": 69031.05,
        "trend": 4.21194,
        "fair_value": 4.117803,
        "relative_strength": -2.124894,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.803106,
        "energy": 55.403869,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.3046,
          4.203236,
          4.112845,
          4.151476
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.318,
        "volume": 179956,
        "typical_volume": 72735.25,
        "trend": 4.215503,
        "fair_value": 4.121783,
        "relative_strength": -3.893198,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.361201,
        "energy": 56.61567,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.312133,
          4.240364,
          4.1332,
          4.158319
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}