{ "ticker": { "uuid": "539d25b8-5239-4b4a-8856-430cbadf2274", "symbol": "FMC1", "name": "Ford Motor Company", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.318, "architecture_energy": 25.347, "architecture_maturity": 32.288, "architecture_confidence": 56.927, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.26, "rotation_up": 36.32, "upward_expansion": 66.71, "deceleration": 71.2, "rotation_down": 24.04, "downward_expansion": 7.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.412, 12.377364, 12.219967, 11.851679 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.1, "trend_reference": 11.524793, "distance_from_trend": 0.04991, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.75515, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24037, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.150544, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070633, "excess_performance": 0.005993, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04991, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038263, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24037, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166691, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011505, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011605, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070633, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.088271, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94560, "relative_activity": 4.117794, "balance": 1.088271, "dry_up": 2.025344, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099174, "annualized_volatility": 0.479423, "from_high_reference": -0.200264, "from_low_reference": 0.318564 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.524793, "fair_value_reference": 9.75515, "structural_low": 9.692691, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.354797, "energy": 20.787853, "activity_lines": [ 12.203333, 12.472673, 11.838109, 11.585862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.475, "volume": 17732, "typical_volume": 17971.05, "trend": 11.408299, "fair_value": 9.703904, "relative_strength": 12.087385, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.826134, "energy": 20.211389, "activity_lines": [ 12.261667, 12.490273, 11.944758, 11.657577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.735, "volume": 3652, "typical_volume": 15985.6, "trend": 11.465413, "fair_value": 9.720686, "relative_strength": 12.563924, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.713952, "energy": 23.769848, "activity_lines": [ 12.426667, 12.515182, 12.073557, 11.74317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.565, "volume": 70094, "typical_volume": 18523.3, "trend": 11.517704, "fair_value": 9.73732, "relative_strength": 8.239169, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.461331, "energy": 29.494093, "activity_lines": [ 12.497333, 12.488182, 12.174779, 11.814111 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.1, "volume": 94560, "typical_volume": 22963.75, "trend": 11.524793, "fair_value": 9.75515, "relative_strength": 1.150544, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.31833, "energy": 25.347048, "activity_lines": [ 12.412, 12.377364, 12.219967, 11.851679 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }