{ "ticker": { "uuid": "539f845e-26ed-4bd6-84b4-b0c080a3572e", "symbol": "SFST", "name": "Southern First Bancshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.662, "architecture_energy": 56.086, "architecture_maturity": 23.874, "architecture_confidence": 84.347, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.04, "rotation_up": 67.73, "upward_expansion": 87.3, "deceleration": 46.13, "rotation_down": 17.1, "downward_expansion": 9.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.390667, 61.671818, 60.071143, 58.879161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 63.33, "trend_reference": 57.655, "distance_from_trend": 0.09843, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.097692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.579393, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.449348, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.066162, "excess_performance": -0.121292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09843, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058712, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.579393, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070256, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044493, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060314, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066162, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.684353, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 662796, "relative_activity": 0.989994, "balance": 1.684353, "dry_up": 0.934012, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049826, "annualized_volatility": 0.239483, "from_high_reference": -0.026292, "from_low_reference": 0.578121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.655, "fair_value_reference": 40.097692, "structural_low": 50.49, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.025156, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": 0.002765, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.212815, "worst_return": -0.202844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.033356, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.111095, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.220012, "worst_return": -0.232402, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.053988, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.017363, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.217264, "worst_return": -0.50336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.994692, "energy": 62.575966, "activity_lines": [ 61.201333, 60.312545, 58.714333, 57.826796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.49, "volume": 734252, "typical_volume": 663193.5, "trend": 56.947, "fair_value": 39.670256, "relative_strength": 7.998713, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.634888, "energy": 52.54427, "activity_lines": [ 61.472, 60.708545, 59.124952, 58.138559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.4, "volume": 499373, "typical_volume": 662000.0, "trend": 57.303667, "fair_value": 39.878974, "relative_strength": 8.563302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.022897, "energy": 50.962196, "activity_lines": [ 61.815333, 61.151818, 59.579238, 58.490366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.33, "volume": 662796, "typical_volume": 669494.9, "trend": 57.655, "fair_value": 40.097692, "relative_strength": 4.449348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.662287, "energy": 56.085828, "activity_lines": [ 62.390667, 61.671818, 60.071143, 58.879161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }