{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53a8dcb2-5455-4c19-b7ed-7524f55168ac", "symbol": "ABAS", "name": "ABAS Protect AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.636, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.741, "architecture_energy": 24.391, "architecture_maturity": 72.358, "architecture_confidence": 83.678, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.51, "rotation_up": 16.62, "upward_expansion": 1.46, "deceleration": 52.31, "rotation_down": 47.09, "downward_expansion": 72.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.243333, 7.28, 7.387143, 7.402473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.25, "trend_reference": 7.521667, "distance_from_trend": -0.036118, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.317692, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.22191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.544678, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09375, "excess_performance": -0.155244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036118, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081043, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.22191, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042221, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.235447, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056844, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.515957, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7576, "relative_activity": 1.629125, "balance": 2.515957, "dry_up": 1.310439, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082228, "annualized_volatility": 0.286601, "from_high_reference": -0.302885, "from_low_reference": 0.150794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.521667, "fair_value_reference": 9.317692, "structural_low": 6.3, 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"orange", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.082873, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040201, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057895, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021739, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"relative_strength": -23.603024, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.818396, "energy": 28.964603, "activity_lines": [ 7.3, 7.5, 7.436905, 7.511183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.2, "volume": 2229, "typical_volume": 4147.9, "trend": 7.686667, "fair_value": 9.386282, "relative_strength": -22.529675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.54074, "energy": 30.666617, "activity_lines": [ 7.25, 7.434545, 7.42, 7.475269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.25, "volume": 10843, "typical_volume": 4124.35, "trend": 7.625, "fair_value": 9.363205, "relative_strength": -22.502674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.98133, "energy": 33.485586, "activity_lines": [ 7.236667, 7.375455, 7.40881, 7.447097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.25, "volume": 3728, "typical_volume": 4285.4, "trend": 7.566667, "fair_value": 9.341731, "relative_strength": -22.811501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.058816, "energy": 25.805112, "activity_lines": [ 7.24, 7.317273, 7.397857, 7.422903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.25, "volume": 7576, "typical_volume": 4650.35, "trend": 7.521667, "fair_value": 9.317692, "relative_strength": -23.544678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.740553, "energy": 24.391496, "activity_lines": [ 7.243333, 7.28, 7.387143, 7.402473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }