{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "53b12847-6a55-4ec6-af18-33abf3505512",
    "symbol": "688239",
    "name": "Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.613,
    "architecture_energy": 82.794,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.827,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.412,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.49,
        "rotation_up": 8.44,
        "upward_expansion": 20.12,
        "deceleration": 37.02,
        "rotation_down": 76.37,
        "downward_expansion": 93.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.512,
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        54.230604,
        57.247398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.0,
    "trend_reference": 61.156976,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.247837,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 39.52259,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.163891,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.371953,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.289246,
    "excess_performance": -0.246042,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247837,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032426,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163891,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.656297,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.16372,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.483468,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.289246,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.357913,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22843521,
      "relative_activity": 0.917908,
      "balance": 0.357913,
      "dry_up": 1.141642,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.159533,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.697709,
      "from_high_reference": -0.434959,
      "from_low_reference": 0.317674
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.156976,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.52259,
      "structural_low": 38.080002,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.050875,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001758,
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        "worst_return": -0.345715,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -0.181012,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 27491033.45,
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        "fair_value": 39.699163,
        "relative_strength": -19.281904,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 64.327402,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 29872547,
        "typical_volume": 26504815.15,
        "trend": 62.696309,
        "fair_value": 39.621437,
        "relative_strength": -24.737102,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.186217,
        "energy": 79.515119,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.689999,
        "volume": 21138149,
        "typical_volume": 25374896.75,
        "trend": 61.879309,
        "fair_value": 39.547581,
        "relative_strength": -23.813004,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.512675,
        "energy": 87.918591,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.215333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.0,
        "volume": 22843521,
        "typical_volume": 24886500.9,
        "trend": 61.156976,
        "fair_value": 39.52259,
        "relative_strength": -16.371953,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.612963,
        "energy": 82.794256,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}