{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53b8734e-bda2-4664-821e-df8c60ce2e32", "symbol": "ABNB", "name": "Airbnb, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.26, "architecture_energy": 67.705, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.17, "rotation_up": 81.25, "upward_expansion": 85.0, "deceleration": 53.83, "rotation_down": 12.79, "downward_expansion": 11.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 2710.345329, 2624.546902, 2517.687426, 2458.797118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3030.0, "trend_reference": 2386.383667, "distance_from_trend": 0.269704, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2466.034615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.228693, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.858856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.442857, "excess_performance": 0.497524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.269704, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034596, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.228693, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216919, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.258589, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.320077, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.442857, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.513483, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2089, "relative_activity": 1.82549, "balance": 1.513483, "dry_up": 0.769651, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048544, "annualized_volatility": 0.378198, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.516517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2386.383667, "fair_value_reference": 2466.034615, "structural_low": 1998.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.020583, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.004274, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.131039, "worst_return": -0.148708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.029348, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.002593, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.225728, "worst_return": -0.12339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023309, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.057459, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.120794, "worst_return": -0.097663, "sufficient": false }, { 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2460.943397, "relative_strength": 8.988485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.476431, "energy": 90.754371, "activity_lines": [ 2585.447982, 2498.673078, 2437.572807, 2397.516538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2385.0, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 1079.55, "trend": 2361.417, "fair_value": 2459.821602, "relative_strength": 0.109682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.992648, "energy": 69.246918, "activity_lines": [ 2526.502653, 2489.879443, 2436.476093, 2398.893935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2630.0, "volume": 227, "typical_volume": 1041.35, "trend": 2370.083667, "fair_value": 2461.167756, "relative_strength": 9.65399, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.698844, "energy": 52.268099, "activity_lines": [ 2555.090658, 2524.085809, 2458.879378, 2416.221871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3030.0, "volume": 2089, "typical_volume": 1144.35, "trend": 2386.383667, "fair_value": 2466.034615, "relative_strength": 25.858856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.260484, "energy": 67.705419, "activity_lines": [ 2710.345329, 2624.546902, 2517.687426, 2458.797118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }