{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53c8742a-dd83-4854-833c-34ef11845ff7", "symbol": "000753", "name": "Fujian Zhangzhou Development Co.,LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.169, "architecture_energy": 61.417, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.751, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 29.47, "upward_expansion": 16.5, "deceleration": 60.84, "rotation_down": 51.77, "downward_expansion": 80.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.598667, 4.599428, 5.070208, 5.517999 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.76, "trend_reference": 6.117286, "distance_from_trend": -0.221877, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.951887, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03875, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.543034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.343448, "excess_performance": -0.350848, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.221877, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177834, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.03875, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.430711, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.32543, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14567, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.343448, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.601775, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95762085, "relative_activity": 0.856494, "balance": 0.601775, "dry_up": 0.984816, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083667, "annualized_volatility": 0.340968, "from_high_reference": -0.579261, "from_low_reference": 0.127962 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.117286, "fair_value_reference": 4.951887, "structural_low": 4.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.015701, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.016511, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.112319, "worst_return": -0.237609, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.154762, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.095448, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.156794, "worst_return": -0.273398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.309963, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.291794, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.429976, "worst_return": -0.310641, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 4.36, "volume": 88330843, "typical_volume": 109992922.7, "trend": 6.454953, "fair_value": 4.955608, "relative_strength": -36.801691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.356368, "energy": 90.25854, "activity_lines": [ 4.477683, 4.744259, 5.395664, 5.85085 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.41, "volume": 114485146, "typical_volume": 108946715.65, "trend": 6.343286, "fair_value": 4.951546, "relative_strength": -35.924388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.585904, "energy": 80.378852, "activity_lines": [ 4.435333, 4.627177, 5.25429, 5.718918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.69, "volume": 141859358, "typical_volume": 110923483.1, "trend": 6.220953, "fair_value": 4.951113, "relative_strength": -30.398995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.084847, "energy": 65.447469, "activity_lines": [ 4.512, 4.595559, 5.153487, 5.612254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.76, "volume": 95762085, "typical_volume": 111807015.15, "trend": 6.117286, "fair_value": 4.951887, "relative_strength": -32.543034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.168857, "energy": 61.416734, "activity_lines": [ 4.598667, 4.599428, 5.070208, 5.517999 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }