{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53c8a376-ca21-44df-aac0-64fe0320b2a5", "symbol": "301028", "name": "Xiamen Dingrongyan Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.69, "architecture_energy": 72.015, "architecture_maturity": 17.526, "architecture_confidence": 77.75, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.06, "rotation_up": 10.84, "upward_expansion": 17.97, "deceleration": 34.56, "rotation_down": 74.33, "downward_expansion": 88.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.324, 13.846364, 15.244427, 15.308764 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.8, "trend_reference": 15.404419, "distance_from_trend": -0.16907, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.69543, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094445, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.399623, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.168291, "excess_performance": -0.175691, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.16907, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013087, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.094445, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.480692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153996, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198547, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168291, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.24503, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28464765, "relative_activity": 0.793144, "balance": 1.24503, "dry_up": 0.991457, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.197825, "annualized_volatility": 0.723411, "from_high_reference": -0.408817, "from_low_reference": 0.207547 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.404419, "fair_value_reference": 11.69543, "structural_low": 10.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.23866, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.151003, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.23866, "worst_return": 0.23866, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.107214, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.055695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.107214, "worst_return": 0.107214, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.418522, "energy": 23.224394, "activity_lines": [ 15.282, 16.366404, 16.334844, 16.02734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.0, "volume": 38785946, "typical_volume": 34734046.05, "trend": 15.578419, "fair_value": 11.670487, "relative_strength": -25.166759, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.154502, "energy": 44.916946, "activity_lines": [ 13.622, 15.239067, 15.870975, 15.723743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.81, "volume": 30928788, "typical_volume": 35223775.8, "trend": 15.463752, "fair_value": 11.678332, "relative_strength": -18.096734, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.183573, "energy": 55.382297, "activity_lines": [ 12.673333, 14.377262, 15.502963, 15.480619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.8, "volume": 28464765, "typical_volume": 35888534.05, "trend": 15.404419, "fair_value": 11.69543, "relative_strength": -15.399623, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.68968, "energy": 72.015377, "activity_lines": [ 12.324, 13.846364, 15.244427, 15.308764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }