{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53cc0a76-5f3a-4083-b8df-060f9c4324ae", "symbol": "ATXG", "name": "Addentax Group Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.586, "architecture_energy": 51.389, "architecture_maturity": 23.748, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.35, "rotation_up": 19.3, "upward_expansion": 10.2, "deceleration": 41.47, "rotation_down": 55.19, "downward_expansion": 83.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.724667, 3.847824, 4.226154, 4.452654 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.95, "trend_reference": 4.742887, "distance_from_trend": -0.167174, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.370851, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.652621, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -48.477193, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.199595, "excess_performance": -0.387048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167174, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155935, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.652621, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068389, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.484772, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011321, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.199595, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.161111, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60023, "relative_activity": 0.173687, "balance": 0.161111, "dry_up": 0.421665, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.200095, "annualized_volatility": 0.973851, "from_high_reference": -0.797436, "from_low_reference": 0.357388 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.742887, "fair_value_reference": 11.370851, "structural_low": 2.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.07269, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.06667, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.495439, "worst_return": -0.488152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.184, "positive_rate": 0.090909, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": -0.263712, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.064684, "worst_return": -0.744148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.216, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.401024, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.039096, "worst_return": -0.826461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.283636, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.288765, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.518889, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.105263, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056604, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", 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"direction": -63.836437, "energy": 61.961535, "activity_lines": [ 3.786673, 4.093102, 4.489941, 4.678938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.7, "volume": 33776, "typical_volume": 3220786.15, "trend": 4.887503, "fair_value": 11.912325, "relative_strength": -50.067908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.876484, "energy": 67.817652, "activity_lines": [ 3.696, 3.987827, 4.397933, 4.596088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.53, "volume": 478335, "typical_volume": 3234197.95, "trend": 4.81572, "fair_value": 11.616684, "relative_strength": -52.121337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.785207, "energy": 67.923584, "activity_lines": [ 3.616, 3.872553, 4.291045, 4.508507 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.95, "volume": 60023, "typical_volume": 345581.35, "trend": 4.742887, "fair_value": 11.370851, "relative_strength": -48.477193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.585719, "energy": 51.388806, "activity_lines": [ 3.724667, 3.847824, 4.226154, 4.452654 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }