{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "53e1b9f1-2d97-40cb-8784-64e0964f15e2",
    "symbol": "KARE",
    "name": "Kardan Real Estate Enterprise and Development Ltd",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.882,
    "architecture_energy": 66.817,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.811,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 29.75,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 55.76,
        "rotation_down": 58.32,
        "downward_expansion": 87.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.978733,
        5.305909,
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        272.65355
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.529,
    "trend_reference": 396.627838,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.988581,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 485.263772,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.990667,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -99.184518,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.991748,
    "excess_performance": -1.020648,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988581,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.342387,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990667,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.389845,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.991845,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.86427,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.991748,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.141707,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 618839,
      "relative_activity": 3.081447,
      "balance": 0.141707,
      "dry_up": 1.454881,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 15.771422,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.389908,
      "from_high_reference": -0.994338,
      "from_low_reference": 0.017753
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 396.627838,
      "fair_value_reference": 485.263772,
      "structural_low": 4.45,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.021508,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010551,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.16101,
        "worst_return": -0.186813,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.061528,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023477,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.098668,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.017729,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012063,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.032925,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024176,
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        "worst_return": -0.035374,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.097205,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.063148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 3,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -99.062977,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -68.594154,
        "energy": 88.770934,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.35,
        "volume": 249143,
        "typical_volume": 190218.85,
        "trend": 457.183231,
        "fair_value": 492.837667,
        "relative_strength": -99.110767,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.50926,
        "energy": 86.525769,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.653667,
          70.5204,
          266.58797,
          356.474386
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.114,
        "volume": 104203,
        "typical_volume": 179870.35,
        "trend": 438.402393,
        "fair_value": 490.339349,
        "relative_strength": -99.148143,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.255737,
        "energy": 67.847044,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.453933,
          37.798146,
          229.836136,
          327.30863
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.077,
        "volume": 196535,
        "typical_volume": 185669.55,
        "trend": 418.357346,
        "fair_value": 487.860653,
        "relative_strength": -99.108506,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.933528,
        "energy": 67.132276,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.2848,
          16.290727,
          195.984169,
          299.352153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.529,
        "volume": 618839,
        "typical_volume": 200827.4,
        "trend": 396.627838,
        "fair_value": 485.263772,
        "relative_strength": -99.184518,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.882293,
        "energy": 66.816861,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.978733,
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          272.65355
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}