{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53e55b78-a5d1-48b0-87a6-3742fc0c515c", "symbol": "688069", "name": "Wuxi Delinhai Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.903, "architecture_energy": 17.486, "architecture_maturity": 71.966, "architecture_confidence": 95.025, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.89, "rotation_up": 29.0, "upward_expansion": 50.2, "deceleration": 82.02, "rotation_down": 25.58, "downward_expansion": 23.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.225999, 35.785092, 35.786279, 32.705431 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 38.669998, "trend_reference": 28.236415, "distance_from_trend": 0.369508, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.363791, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.516957, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 69.404649, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.291585, "excess_performance": 1.334789, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.369508, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.315519, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.516957, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.364187, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.694046, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.387053, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.291585, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.470421, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13508268, "relative_activity": 0.594804, "balance": 1.470421, "dry_up": 0.703959, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171314, "annualized_volatility": 0.730595, "from_high_reference": -0.214351, "from_low_reference": 1.696793 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.236415, "fair_value_reference": 15.363791, "structural_low": 16.380952, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.023521, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023181, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.091483, "worst_return": -0.090446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.065994, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.06758, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.168986, "worst_return": -0.163822, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.065217, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.058895, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.131191, "worst_return": -0.142558, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022358, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.080369, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.228712, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06309, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.101299, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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34.599998, "volume": 14658937, "typical_volume": 22237743.3, "trend": 26.870046, "fair_value": 15.082233, "relative_strength": 61.62677, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.714841, "energy": 19.33193, "activity_lines": [ 34.661999, 36.186298, 35.052393, 31.578006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.150002, "volume": 17437094, "typical_volume": 22424171.25, "trend": 27.474869, "fair_value": 15.204076, "relative_strength": 51.983435, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.810422, "energy": 19.340741, "activity_lines": [ 33.904, 35.390692, 35.191955, 31.983165 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.669998, "volume": 13508268, "typical_volume": 22710455.7, "trend": 28.236415, "fair_value": 15.363791, "relative_strength": 69.404649, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.902692, "energy": 17.485839, "activity_lines": [ 35.225999, 35.785092, 35.786279, 32.705431 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }