{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53f0a0b9-5187-4c4b-a530-01f229af3902", "symbol": "XSPU", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.341, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.791, "architecture_energy": 61.41, "architecture_maturity": 65.13, "architecture_confidence": 69.878, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.35, "rotation_up": 53.48, "upward_expansion": 80.46, "deceleration": 69.21, "rotation_down": 27.64, "downward_expansion": 9.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 152.630336, 151.843819, 150.461405, 147.481657 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 156.729996, "trend_reference": 144.072501, "distance_from_trend": 0.087855, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 117.732005, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.331244, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.329568, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131053, "excess_performance": 0.079818, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087855, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035378, "read": "Rising" 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142.236834, "fair_value": 116.098255, "relative_strength": 4.56696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.120284, "energy": 61.801036, "activity_lines": [ 151.216997, 151.085089, 147.819118, 145.118817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 151.020004, "volume": 50562, "typical_volume": 55918.25, "trend": 142.698834, "fair_value": 116.497806, "relative_strength": 2.450668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.559003, "energy": 58.040919, "activity_lines": [ 151.263999, 151.118817, 148.482476, 145.685473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 150.445007, "volume": 67074, "typical_volume": 50622.6, "trend": 143.089668, "fair_value": 116.888928, "relative_strength": 0.766267, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.168921, "energy": 54.933302, "activity_lines": [ 151.060669, 151.010182, 149.029881, 146.185226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 149.960007, "volume": 28574, "typical_volume": 47824.15, "trend": 143.505668, "fair_value": 117.284441, "relative_strength": -0.784538, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.371968, "energy": 44.522602, "activity_lines": [ 150.753338, 150.801456, 149.461453, 146.628474 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 156.729996, "volume": 37144, "typical_volume": 46506.0, "trend": 144.072501, "fair_value": 117.732005, "relative_strength": 3.329568, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.791153, "energy": 61.409715, "activity_lines": [ 152.630336, 151.843819, 150.461405, 147.481657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }