{ "ticker": { "uuid": "53f5d20f-3e20-4136-a675-c8b1a3d8d57f", "symbol": "8047", "name": "Great Computer Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.428, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.557, "architecture_energy": 31.883, "architecture_maturity": 31.347, "architecture_confidence": 86.092, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.31, "rotation_up": 24.08, "upward_expansion": 8.13, "deceleration": 55.43, "rotation_down": 45.07, "downward_expansion": 72.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.44, 45.592727, 47.309048, 48.704624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.099998, "trend_reference": 49.61, "distance_from_trend": -0.090909, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.503526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.840551, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.127845, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.064315, "excess_performance": -0.505687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.090909, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.840551, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.53003, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.241278, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.287249, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064315, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.486351, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 122254, "relative_activity": 0.319037, "balance": 0.486351, "dry_up": 0.276157, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108647, "annualized_volatility": 0.550373, "from_high_reference": -0.258224, "from_low_reference": 2.523437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.61, "fair_value_reference": 24.503526, "structural_low": 41.049999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.002049, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016368, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.100775, "worst_return": -0.074576, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.004386, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.036259, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.947956, "worst_return": -0.055118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.025749, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037582, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.073644, "worst_return": -0.05, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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255000, "typical_volume": 728738.05, "trend": 50.495, "fair_value": 23.638141, "relative_strength": -20.270646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.402085, "energy": 61.947103, "activity_lines": [ 45.313333, 46.782727, 49.327381, 49.951613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.25, "volume": 76088, "typical_volume": 621299.1, "trend": 50.21, "fair_value": 23.840385, "relative_strength": -22.10637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.509012, "energy": 68.385435, "activity_lines": [ 44.226666, 46.027273, 48.573333, 49.484194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.200001, "volume": 137659, "typical_volume": 517415.55, "trend": 49.873334, "fair_value": 24.050321, "relative_strength": -19.954041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.915674, "energy": 67.341429, "activity_lines": [ 43.87, 45.589091, 47.945714, 49.096452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.5, "volume": 87289, "typical_volume": 449224.3, "trend": 49.8, "fair_value": 24.288141, "relative_strength": -15.017074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.387408, "energy": 42.886655, "activity_lines": [ 45.27, 45.947273, 47.779048, 49.00785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.099998, "volume": 122254, "typical_volume": 383197.5, "trend": 49.61, "fair_value": 24.503526, "relative_strength": -24.127845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.557308, "energy": 31.883292, "activity_lines": [ 45.44, 45.592727, 47.309048, 48.704624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }