{ "ticker": { "uuid": "540a9e8c-2c5f-4f03-b58c-9dd259c4def4", "symbol": "FTDR", "name": "Frontdoor Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.359, "architecture_energy": 64.74, "architecture_maturity": 50.715, "architecture_confidence": 80.579, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.75, "rotation_up": 67.33, "upward_expansion": 80.21, "deceleration": 62.12, "rotation_down": 16.61, "downward_expansion": 9.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.055333, 76.781455, 71.778905, 68.667935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 90.83, "trend_reference": 65.090667, "distance_from_trend": 0.395438, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.62875, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.830189, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 26.388647, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.584336, "excess_performance": 0.396883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.395438, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110617, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.830189, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.438095, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.263886, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.361676, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.584336, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.641593, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3330937, "relative_activity": 1.127976, "balance": 2.641593, "dry_up": 0.864528, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067745, "annualized_volatility": 0.540188, "from_high_reference": -0.027828, "from_low_reference": 0.873943 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.090667, "fair_value_reference": 49.62875, "structural_low": 50.91, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.011231, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.009439, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.233501, "worst_return": -0.240481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.078853, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.012941, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.405602, "worst_return": -0.139947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.017384, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.108104, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.360909, "worst_return": -0.029726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 3275203.6, "trend": 62.526, "fair_value": 48.538045, "relative_strength": 5.157447, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.530188, "energy": 82.105472, "activity_lines": [ 75.112667, 71.078909, 67.052762, 64.973247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 75.69, "volume": 2273182, "typical_volume": 3180436.2, "trend": 63.156, "fair_value": 48.802724, "relative_strength": 10.156678, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.48709, "energy": 81.461075, "activity_lines": [ 75.747333, 72.439636, 68.095, 65.822538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.49, "volume": 2107674, "typical_volume": 3089375.8, "trend": 63.585333, "fair_value": 49.039647, "relative_strength": 5.732795, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.916518, "energy": 58.030963, "activity_lines": [ 74.524667, 72.835455, 68.703333, 66.360215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.63, "volume": 2500085, "typical_volume": 3048377.85, "trend": 64.105, "fair_value": 49.268045, "relative_strength": 6.825841, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.005828, "energy": 46.621475, "activity_lines": [ 73.686667, 73.256909, 69.396905, 66.943742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.83, "volume": 3330937, "typical_volume": 2953021.3, "trend": 65.090667, "fair_value": 49.62875, "relative_strength": 26.388647, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.359196, "energy": 64.740051, "activity_lines": [ 79.055333, 76.781455, 71.778905, 68.667935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }