{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5424c98e-d8c6-42c9-88c5-f97bc0ce81ce",
    "symbol": "AEME",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Core MSCI Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Accumulation",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.198,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.184,
    "architecture_energy": 24.118,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.522,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.088,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.27,
        "rotation_up": 18.46,
        "upward_expansion": 52.51,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 35.12,
        "downward_expansion": 18.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        98.381999,
        99.941326,
        99.494247,
        97.115135
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 99.379997,
    "trend_reference": 94.063433,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056521,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.106764,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.378234,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.37439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.131671,
    "excess_performance": 0.07836,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056521,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077587,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.378234,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073386,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063744,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168437,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131671,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.916197,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47842,
      "relative_activity": 0.831684,
      "balance": 0.916197,
      "dry_up": 0.9075,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044255,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.228477,
      "from_high_reference": -0.071562,
      "from_low_reference": 0.377217
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 94.063433,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.106764,
      "structural_low": 81.963997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.01717,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011333,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.130057,
        "worst_return": -0.021221,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.05856,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068878,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.24006,
        "worst_return": -0.009405,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.064656,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03162,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.34306,
        "worst_return": -0.00627,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.082262,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009832,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.132532,
        "worst_return": 0.031992,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.092157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.104318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.094115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038263,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.013294,
        "active": false
      },
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 65499.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 65286.0,
        "trend": 91.914033,
        "fair_value": 71.115924,
        "relative_strength": 16.538034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 59.56614,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 54319,
        "typical_volume": 65260.15,
        "trend": 92.487,
        "fair_value": 71.36161,
        "relative_strength": 9.322882,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.623758,
        "energy": 36.621491,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.029999,
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          96.113212
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 98.059998,
        "volume": 52894,
        "typical_volume": 62916.75,
        "trend": 93.094066,
        "fair_value": 71.598982,
        "relative_strength": 10.065792,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.66757,
        "energy": 23.132259,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.580665,
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          99.088356,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 97.260002,
        "volume": 53758,
        "typical_volume": 60676.35,
        "trend": 93.589133,
        "fair_value": 71.841495,
        "relative_strength": 7.016405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.125837,
        "energy": 23.794958,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.433999,
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          99.216314,
          96.741531
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 99.379997,
        "volume": 47842,
        "typical_volume": 57524.25,
        "trend": 94.063433,
        "fair_value": 72.106764,
        "relative_strength": 6.37439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.18387,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}