{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54299f23-c64a-41bc-84b0-0a70038a489f", "symbol": "ZLSC", "name": "BMO Long Short Canadian Equity ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.123, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.727, "architecture_energy": 94.711, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.49, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.58, "rotation_up": 84.32, "upward_expansion": 99.11, "deceleration": 39.45, "rotation_down": 13.15, "downward_expansion": 21.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.049999, 47.750136, 47.348634, 46.905809 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 48.509998, "trend_reference": 46.25883, "distance_from_trend": 0.048665, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.451218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295285, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.050258, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.09166, "excess_performance": -0.028761, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048665, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033093, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295285, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034042, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030503, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09166, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.743454, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 401, "relative_activity": 0.027942, "balance": 18.743454, "dry_up": 0.404779, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.007622, "annualized_volatility": 0.08369, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.198659 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.25883, "fair_value_reference": 37.451218, "structural_low": 44.19763, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.012823, "positive_rate": 0.866667, "directional_follow_through": 0.866667, "median_excess_return": -0.008727, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.052835, "worst_return": -0.022064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.054625, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.025021, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.068306, "worst_return": 0.031096, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.10681, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.047355, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.112094, "worst_return": 0.101527, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.839518, "energy": 77.211043, "activity_lines": [ 47.531666, 47.394774, 47.041176, 46.612851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.110001, "volume": 19127, "typical_volume": 14831.5, "trend": 46.115085, "fair_value": 37.376998, "relative_strength": -0.880312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.947135, "energy": 85.091879, "activity_lines": [ 47.756667, 47.547856, 47.182277, 46.751299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.509998, "volume": 401, "typical_volume": 14351.05, "trend": 46.25883, "fair_value": 37.451218, "relative_strength": -3.050258, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.72663, "energy": 94.710556, "activity_lines": [ 48.049999, 47.750136, 47.348634, 46.905809 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }