{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5446c50e-9394-4338-83df-7b93abb27818", "symbol": "DOMH", "name": "Dominari Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.482, "architecture_energy": 57.964, "architecture_maturity": 16.783, "architecture_confidence": 84.696, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.98, "rotation_up": 10.12, "upward_expansion": 11.02, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 72.99, "downward_expansion": 89.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.578667, 2.740545, 2.904199, 2.913299 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.45, "trend_reference": 3.005368, "distance_from_trend": -0.184792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.761133, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112683, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.206171, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.281832, "excess_performance": -0.469286, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184792, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097773, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112683, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.347875, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.422062, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116147, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.281832, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487367, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 227833, "relative_activity": 0.316848, "balance": 0.487367, "dry_up": 0.370545, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201223, "annualized_volatility": 0.54976, "from_high_reference": -0.651411, "from_low_reference": 0.118721 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.005368, "fair_value_reference": 2.761133, "structural_low": 2.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.032137, "positive_rate": 0.432432, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.031354, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 8.707321, "worst_return": -0.353261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.018717, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.044241, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 3.331997, "worst_return": -0.420225, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.279982, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.368945, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 4.02983, "worst_return": -0.456355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-10", "close": 2.83, "volume": 323162, "typical_volume": 742744.55, "trend": 3.184417, "fair_value": 2.75576, "relative_strength": -36.555785, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.712639, "energy": 22.629851, "activity_lines": [ 2.973333, 3.104348, 3.030146, 3.049183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.76, "volume": 129957, "typical_volume": 728968.9, "trend": 3.14868, "fair_value": 2.757028, "relative_strength": -34.661531, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.790411, "energy": 29.651942, "activity_lines": [ 2.878, 3.025818, 3.013573, 3.021801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.64, "volume": 235892, "typical_volume": 725602.1, "trend": 3.109222, "fair_value": 2.759016, "relative_strength": -35.787788, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.478001, "energy": 41.883828, "activity_lines": [ 2.769333, 2.935818, 2.985625, 2.988983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.54, "volume": 472095, "typical_volume": 725146.9, "trend": 3.05388, "fair_value": 2.760462, "relative_strength": -37.984804, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.990719, "energy": 50.716161, "activity_lines": [ 2.676, 2.84, 2.94856, 2.952259 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.45, "volume": 227833, "typical_volume": 719060.85, "trend": 3.005368, "fair_value": 2.761133, "relative_strength": -42.206171, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.482272, "energy": 57.964401, "activity_lines": [ 2.578667, 2.740545, 2.904199, 2.913299 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }