{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5447c5d6-8990-468b-a401-2bba0ece14cb", "symbol": "600257", "name": "Dahu Health Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.78, "architecture_energy": 29.026, "architecture_maturity": 85.27, "architecture_confidence": 79.359, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.56, "rotation_up": 27.84, "upward_expansion": 22.67, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 28.81, "downward_expansion": 61.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.027333, 4.875455, 5.158619, 5.527871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.28, "trend_reference": 6.057667, "distance_from_trend": -0.128377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.645833, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064797, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.50207, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.285521, "excess_performance": -0.242317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068051, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064797, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105021, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285521, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.744568, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85275564, "relative_activity": 1.105836, "balance": 0.744568, "dry_up": 1.74337, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08785, "annualized_volatility": 0.32494, "from_high_reference": -0.34, "from_low_reference": 0.248227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.057667, "fair_value_reference": 5.645833, "structural_low": 4.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.02673, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.030239, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.266393, "worst_return": -0.156997, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.01794, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.013344, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.815574, "worst_return": -0.13278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.04425, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.036755, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.432377, "worst_return": -0.293515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 162489326, "typical_volume": 70015574.6, "trend": 6.176333, "fair_value": 5.677244, "relative_strength": -14.086062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.325494, "energy": 80.367137, "activity_lines": [ 4.637333, 4.817273, 5.332667, 5.736194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.73, "volume": 167960403, "typical_volume": 73256561.9, "trend": 6.121667, "fair_value": 5.664359, "relative_strength": -17.540868, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.458124, "energy": 62.283183, "activity_lines": [ 4.674, 4.761818, 5.23481, 5.642882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.15, "volume": 122028219, "typical_volume": 76168937.95, "trend": 6.091, "fair_value": 5.655962, "relative_strength": -10.450719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.697043, "energy": 44.566739, "activity_lines": [ 4.853333, 4.803091, 5.187048, 5.580194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.28, "volume": 85275564, "typical_volume": 77114087.6, "trend": 6.057667, "fair_value": 5.645833, "relative_strength": -10.50207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.779534, "energy": 29.02616, "activity_lines": [ 5.027333, 4.875455, 5.158619, 5.527871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }