{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5451ce56-e2b2-40e0-816b-1df9a613439a", "symbol": "QBR-A", "name": "Quebecor Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.677, "architecture_energy": 49.829, "architecture_maturity": 86.531, "architecture_confidence": 67.773, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.4, "rotation_up": 43.97, "upward_expansion": 75.53, "deceleration": 71.49, "rotation_down": 29.3, "downward_expansion": 13.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.472, 68.316545, 66.385627, 63.981549 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.0, "trend_reference": 60.337973, "distance_from_trend": 0.143558, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.210156, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.759748, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.754872, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.370081, "excess_performance": 0.249659, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.143558, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106503, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.759748, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19639, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.137549, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070052, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.370081, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.238095, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1000, "relative_activity": 0.445434, "balance": 12.238095, "dry_up": 1.536748, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039297, "annualized_volatility": 0.27964, "from_high_reference": -0.034521, "from_low_reference": 6986.341772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.337973, "fair_value_reference": 39.210156, "structural_low": 0.009875, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.001775, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.006775, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.203636, "worst_return": -0.110101, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.06078, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.025606, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.223949, "worst_return": -0.143134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024717, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.053903, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.412932, "worst_return": -0.237868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 21.214689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.408389, "energy": 69.747523, "activity_lines": [ 68.512, 67.979437, 64.285992, 61.618206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 66.699997, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 1885.0, "trend": 58.60416, "fair_value": 38.46399, "relative_strength": 15.532406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.222558, "energy": 56.257524, "activity_lines": [ 67.881999, 67.994844, 64.750146, 62.173105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.07, "volume": 10600, "typical_volume": 2335.0, "trend": 59.130152, "fair_value": 38.70489, "relative_strength": 15.219341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.367134, "energy": 51.98483, "activity_lines": [ 67.541333, 67.888919, 65.203244, 62.719288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.43, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 2300.0, "trend": 59.73481, "fair_value": 38.966682, "relative_strength": 19.004046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.369585, "energy": 53.035448, "activity_lines": [ 68.135333, 68.174727, 65.840572, 63.383795 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.0, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 2245.0, "trend": 60.337973, "fair_value": 39.210156, "relative_strength": 13.754872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.67749, "energy": 49.829455, "activity_lines": [ 68.472, 68.316545, 66.385627, 63.981549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }