{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54548ac5-c303-4654-b7ba-8d17cd57dde9", "symbol": "PLNT", "name": "Planet Fitness Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.444, "architecture_energy": 45.6, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.921, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.94, "rotation_up": 27.71, "upward_expansion": 22.79, "deceleration": 44.14, "rotation_down": 41.29, "downward_expansion": 61.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.678667, 52.645091, 54.018333, 58.947677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 50.01, "trend_reference": 67.274667, "distance_from_trend": -0.25663, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.479936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.386229, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -47.00513, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.454099, "excess_performance": -0.579724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.25663, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219259, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.386229, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058465, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.470051, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110593, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.454099, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.564061, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13580597, "relative_activity": 1.301814, "balance": 1.564061, "dry_up": 1.002455, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088246, "annualized_volatility": 0.59589, "from_high_reference": -0.562314, "from_low_reference": 0.350527 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.274667, "fair_value_reference": 81.479936, "structural_low": 37.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.001308, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003907, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.217269, "worst_return": -0.244085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.073924, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.062204, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.216936, "worst_return": -0.499181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.10187, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.008641, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.467436, "worst_return": -0.568594, "sufficient": true }, 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"relative_strength": -44.976235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.322449, "energy": 44.067923, "activity_lines": [ 52.395333, 52.277636, 55.949095, 62.402452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.48, "volume": 8892354, "typical_volume": 10109533.95, "trend": 70.963333, "fair_value": 81.584167, "relative_strength": -42.548079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.418215, "energy": 39.820654, "activity_lines": [ 52.698, 52.496727, 55.230476, 61.154946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.91, "volume": 10743093, "typical_volume": 10141276.05, "trend": 69.169333, "fair_value": 81.548269, "relative_strength": -39.666409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.424944, "energy": 33.94803, "activity_lines": [ 53.777333, 53.142364, 54.86319, 60.183763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.01, "volume": 13580597, "typical_volume": 10432057.3, "trend": 67.274667, "fair_value": 81.479936, "relative_strength": -47.00513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.443993, "energy": 45.600478, "activity_lines": [ 52.678667, 52.645091, 54.018333, 58.947677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }