{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5460a326-b6b0-4624-815f-34cc50e000d8",
    "symbol": "002819",
    "name": "Beijing Oriental Jicheng Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.705,
    "architecture_energy": 61.279,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.234,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.772,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.53,
        "rotation_up": 20.85,
        "upward_expansion": 10.86,
        "deceleration": 53.21,
        "rotation_down": 61.78,
        "downward_expansion": 84.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.036667,
        20.422128,
        22.177964,
        23.409853
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.58,
    "trend_reference": 25.116131,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.180606,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 26.431084,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.221371,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.956077,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.269695,
    "excess_performance": -0.277095,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180606,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084446,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.221371,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.249797,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259561,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050442,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.269695,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.819133,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10290080,
      "relative_activity": 0.867975,
      "balance": 0.819133,
      "dry_up": 1.047442,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082353,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.347733,
      "from_high_reference": -0.41617,
      "from_low_reference": 0.129528
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.116131,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.431084,
      "structural_low": 18.219999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.01271,
        "positive_rate": 0.44,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.56,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003064,
        "regime_survival": 0.76,
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        "worst_return": -0.173899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.001948,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014215,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.282339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.14421,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.28249,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12585871.9,
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        "fair_value": 26.538192,
        "relative_strength": -30.429785,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -79.221728,
        "energy": 83.076138,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.42,
        "volume": 15410732,
        "typical_volume": 12077336.8,
        "trend": 25.340464,
        "fair_value": 26.478,
        "relative_strength": -23.464681,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.633497,
        "energy": 65.605662,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.58,
        "volume": 10290080,
        "typical_volume": 11855270.15,
        "trend": 25.116131,
        "fair_value": 26.431084,
        "relative_strength": -25.956077,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.705437,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}