{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5461d8a5-789c-4af9-9b3d-74bacd1a696d", "symbol": "301559", "name": "CIMC Safeway Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.509, "architecture_energy": 49.592, "architecture_maturity": 81.554, "architecture_confidence": 66.642, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.26, "rotation_up": 26.85, "upward_expansion": 20.34, "deceleration": 66.87, "rotation_down": 45.64, "downward_expansion": 70.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.94994, 12.887666, 13.745312, 14.535915 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.25, "trend_reference": 15.588097, "distance_from_trend": -0.149992, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.813459, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.162106, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.616004, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.245754, "excess_performance": -0.253154, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.149992, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063332, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.162106, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222353, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20616, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028558, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.245754, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.456301, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19004874, "relative_activity": 2.051824, "balance": 0.456301, "dry_up": 1.39473, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068953, "annualized_volatility": 0.29561, "from_high_reference": -0.320105, "from_low_reference": 0.101618 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.588097, "fair_value_reference": 15.813459, "structural_low": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -67.89528, "energy": 86.901137, "activity_lines": [ 12.820128, 13.450251, 14.597537, 15.307478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.277096, "volume": 9123051, "typical_volume": 11015821.85, "trend": 15.862388, "fair_value": 15.872298, "relative_strength": -25.448359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.684017, "energy": 87.957, "activity_lines": [ 12.601935, 13.101752, 14.292596, 15.068902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.516455, "volume": 13066293, "typical_volume": 9995995.65, "trend": 15.754436, "fair_value": 15.848993, "relative_strength": -23.591563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.849853, "energy": 67.199591, "activity_lines": [ 12.541055, 12.882645, 14.038095, 14.853035 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.26, "volume": 10480131, "typical_volume": 8994254.9, "trend": 15.670938, "fair_value": 15.831138, "relative_strength": -17.126627, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.274312, "energy": 61.733389, "activity_lines": [ 12.78026, 12.863701, 13.881194, 14.692104 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.25, "volume": 19004874, "typical_volume": 9262428.65, "trend": 15.588097, "fair_value": 15.813459, "relative_strength": -20.616004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.508898, "energy": 49.592384, "activity_lines": [ 12.94994, 12.887666, 13.745312, 14.535915 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }