{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5461ebde-b1cf-4a76-a641-055ec87f9fb1", "symbol": "PAA", "name": "Plains All American Pipeline LP", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.772, "architecture_energy": 67.592, "architecture_maturity": 10.523, "architecture_confidence": 80.518, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.02, "rotation_up": 70.11, "upward_expansion": 87.96, "deceleration": 45.49, "rotation_down": 10.4, "downward_expansion": 14.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.623121, 23.094444, 22.735274, 22.328386 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.81, "trend_reference": 21.58942, "distance_from_trend": 0.056536, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.41663, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.389445, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.412011, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.197727, "excess_performance": 0.010273, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056536, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100097, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.389445, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01687, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03412, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020388, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.197727, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.540194, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17162444, "relative_activity": 1.31536, "balance": 1.540194, "dry_up": 0.978719, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051506, "annualized_volatility": 0.271499, "from_high_reference": -0.073517, "from_low_reference": 0.548519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.58942, "fair_value_reference": 16.41663, "structural_low": 18.68119, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.002886, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.002574, "regime_survival": 0.738095, "best_return": 0.142114, "worst_return": -0.135889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.058824, "positive_rate": 0.764706, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": 0.01791, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.155511, "worst_return": -0.078212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.126783, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.029409, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.311898, "worst_return": -0.076186, "sufficient": true }, { 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"volume": 11485748, "typical_volume": 13792430.3, "trend": 21.189014, "fair_value": 16.26851, "relative_strength": 16.420135, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.28667, "energy": 63.594187, "activity_lines": [ 23.206994, 22.732863, 22.457402, 22.02089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.57, "volume": 12870979, "typical_volume": 13296805.3, "trend": 21.424796, "fair_value": 16.349062, "relative_strength": 17.230524, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.829501, "energy": 79.187357, "activity_lines": [ 23.811227, 23.077472, 22.688816, 22.239018 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.81, "volume": 17162444, "typical_volume": 13047720.55, "trend": 21.58942, "fair_value": 16.41663, "relative_strength": 3.412011, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.772141, "energy": 67.592121, "activity_lines": [ 23.623121, 23.094444, 22.735274, 22.328386 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }