{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54686f34-340d-48f0-afb9-d7d04e241a41", "symbol": "ISI", "name": "Imagesat International (I.S.I) Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.994, "architecture_energy": 73.93, "architecture_maturity": 65.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.753, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.89, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 27.87, "deceleration": 47.23, "rotation_down": 47.07, "downward_expansion": 73.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.174667, 11.875455, 309.565, 593.839032 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.42, "trend_reference": 948.108333, "distance_from_trend": -0.9869, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1189.152885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.989556, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.998741, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991972, "excess_performance": -1.020872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.9869, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.296011, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.989556, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.837636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.989987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.612337, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.991972, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.9889, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 265437, "relative_activity": 2.135961, "balance": 1.9889, "dry_up": 1.258999, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.112164, "annualized_volatility": 6.361415, "from_high_reference": -0.993718, "from_low_reference": 0.215264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 948.108333, "fair_value_reference": 1189.152885, "structural_low": 10.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.022589, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.012231, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.217382, "worst_return": -0.169088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.138973, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.016978, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.283554, "worst_return": -0.109428, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.195299, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.031927, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.35344, "worst_return": -0.991719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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160431, "typical_volume": 141950.85, "trend": 1085.492, "fair_value": 1210.418975, "relative_strength": -99.08976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.891826, "energy": 87.694879, "activity_lines": [ 11.752667, 126.434545, 528.940476, 793.770108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.3, "volume": 102044, "typical_volume": 117304.25, "trend": 1047.935333, "fair_value": 1202.645257, "relative_strength": -99.077287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.465938, "energy": 82.963026, "activity_lines": [ 12.047333, 69.748, 447.822571, 724.531914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.77, "volume": 97914, "typical_volume": 116584.4, "trend": 1001.994333, "fair_value": 1195.989936, "relative_strength": -99.070655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.44819, "energy": 78.815675, "activity_lines": [ 12.034667, 31.414182, 374.848, 657.682538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.42, "volume": 265437, "typical_volume": 124270.55, "trend": 948.108333, "fair_value": 1189.152885, "relative_strength": -98.998741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.994154, "energy": 73.930467, "activity_lines": [ 12.174667, 11.875455, 309.565, 593.839032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }