{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54774a47-1774-4956-a52c-7c1e9850ecf9", "symbol": "BIDU34", "name": "Baidu, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.6, "architecture_energy": 42.568, "architecture_maturity": 24.681, "architecture_confidence": 88.266, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.43, "rotation_up": 16.38, "upward_expansion": 5.86, "deceleration": 46.83, "rotation_down": 55.19, "downward_expansion": 76.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.133332, 40.829272, 42.593571, 43.505763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.759998, "trend_reference": 45.886333, "distance_from_trend": -0.133511, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.576603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.020125, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.339387, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270057, "excess_performance": -0.213009, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133511, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051256, "read": "Falling" 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37.139999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.035477, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": 0.024531, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.242604, "worst_return": -0.077131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.029228, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.06004, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.68486, "worst_return": -0.256075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.01397, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.083017, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.417551, "worst_return": -0.075308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 42.206667, 42.871818, 43.815238, 44.958774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.27, "volume": 46142, "typical_volume": 47893.15, "trend": 46.954333, "fair_value": 40.7075, "relative_strength": -21.418298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.84676, "energy": 39.772415, "activity_lines": [ 40.996667, 41.821636, 43.271048, 44.374365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.119999, "volume": 16678, "typical_volume": 44545.5, "trend": 46.389, "fair_value": 40.631346, "relative_strength": -19.270844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.469283, "energy": 36.866856, "activity_lines": [ 40.63, 41.306727, 42.932333, 43.933441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.759998, "volume": 4520, "typical_volume": 43453.85, "trend": 45.886333, "fair_value": 40.576603, "relative_strength": -17.339387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.599562, "energy": 42.567513, "activity_lines": [ 40.133332, 40.829272, 42.593571, 43.505763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }