{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "547c4d7b-9dc9-4354-be16-83326211c67c",
    "symbol": "DB54",
    "name": "Xtrackers - DAX Income UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.406,
    "architecture_energy": 83.441,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.653,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.685,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.4,
        "rotation_up": 69.96,
        "upward_expansion": 91.79,
        "deceleration": 45.58,
        "rotation_down": 17.09,
        "downward_expansion": 18.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 167.119995,
    "trend_reference": 154.288667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083164,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 133.231935,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254354,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -10.323064,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.084491,
    "excess_performance": -0.089756,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083164,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024017,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254354,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074542,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103231,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036668,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084491,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.470655,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.470655,
      "dry_up": 1.156473,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020796,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183905,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.218609
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 133.231935,
      "structural_low": 137.139999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.008657,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001988,
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        "worst_return": -0.109527,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.035375,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.028427,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 151.960007,
        "volume": 212,
        "typical_volume": 1070.2,
        "trend": 149.702666,
        "fair_value": 128.800223,
        "relative_strength": -13.989869,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.704137,
        "energy": 21.014265,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.638667,
          149.199272,
          150.022094,
          150.165161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 151.600006,
        "volume": 212,
        "typical_volume": 1039.4,
        "trend": 149.875333,
        "fair_value": 129.082846,
        "relative_strength": -13.430231,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.976852,
        "energy": 20.573526,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.669336,
          149.928364,
          150.089047,
          150.28757
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 157.880005,
        "volume": 424,
        "typical_volume": 957.1,
        "trend": 150.199333,
        "fair_value": 129.425662,
        "relative_strength": -11.299637,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.886216,
        "energy": 42.553229,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.637337,
          151.720001,
          150.753905,
          150.804
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 160.279999,
        "volume": 212,
        "typical_volume": 878.6,
        "trend": 150.67,
        "fair_value": 129.773128,
        "relative_strength": -11.948042,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.621452,
        "energy": 59.974068,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.189336,
          153.736001,
          151.618762,
          151.454366
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 157.720001,
        "volume": 212,
        "typical_volume": 829.8,
        "trend": 151.132667,
        "fair_value": 130.106896,
        "relative_strength": -11.973007,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.990291,
        "energy": 66.069691,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.234669,
          154.91782,
          152.21181,
          151.909204
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 157.639999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 740.7,
        "trend": 151.488,
        "fair_value": 130.42517,
        "relative_strength": -14.007361,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.754353,
        "energy": 69.254524,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.818667,
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          152.779905,
          152.329032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 158.559998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 641.7,
        "trend": 152.017333,
        "fair_value": 130.766447,
        "relative_strength": -16.576855,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.482896,
        "energy": 70.477351,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.330666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 156.779999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 532.8,
        "trend": 152.302,
        "fair_value": 131.089825,
        "relative_strength": -15.443108,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.806017,
        "energy": 58.038444,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.785332,
          156.840728,
          153.832952,
          153.092559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 161.580002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 433.8,
        "trend": 152.706667,
        "fair_value": 131.468156,
        "relative_strength": -14.467682,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.089421,
        "energy": 62.513284,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.913333,
          157.962546,
          154.702095,
          153.69114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 159.360001,
        "volume": 384,
        "typical_volume": 354.0,
        "trend": 153.012,
        "fair_value": 131.809842,
        "relative_strength": -14.089796,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.388564,
        "energy": 55.416995,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.214667,
          158.47891,
          155.331048,
          154.120387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 158.460007,
        "volume": 78,
        "typical_volume": 298.5,
        "trend": 153.26,
        "fair_value": 132.142574,
        "relative_strength": -12.477412,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.823806,
        "energy": 48.843257,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.106669,
          158.683274,
          155.867334,
          154.471872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 158.759995,
        "volume": 475,
        "typical_volume": 220.75,
        "trend": 153.5,
        "fair_value": 132.461303,
        "relative_strength": -13.058965,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.873268,
        "energy": 49.561891,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.044001,
          158.824,
          156.436096,
          154.82671
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 162.820007,
        "volume": 192,
        "typical_volume": 210.55,
        "trend": 153.864667,
        "fair_value": 132.830124,
        "relative_strength": -10.413562,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.059309,
        "energy": 55.699763,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.321336,
          159.572729,
          157.336668,
          155.428001
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 167.119995,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 161.05,
        "trend": 154.288667,
        "fair_value": 133.231935,
        "relative_strength": -10.323064,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.405782,
        "energy": 83.441051,
        "activity_lines": [
          162.629334,
          161.013455,
          158.567715,
          156.283183
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}