{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54ab3a39-ba1e-42a0-b0c4-85232ea907a8", "symbol": "DCBBANK", "name": "DCB Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 76.279, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.766, "architecture_energy": 37.475, "architecture_maturity": 12.11, "architecture_confidence": 88.439, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.53, "rotation_up": 54.69, "upward_expansion": 77.59, "deceleration": 54.86, "rotation_down": 17.5, "downward_expansion": 4.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 188.956665, 187.819114, 185.013311, 183.496954 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 192.619995, "trend_reference": 183.207293, "distance_from_trend": 0.051377, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 139.663137, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379176, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.012079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.001925, "excess_performance": 0.045634, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051377, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018117, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.379176, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04168, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.140121, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024854, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001925, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.683044, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6227135, "relative_activity": 1.144594, "balance": 0.683044, "dry_up": 1.441163, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050076, "annualized_volatility": 0.247862, "from_high_reference": -0.059197, "from_low_reference": 0.611748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 183.207293, "fair_value_reference": 139.663137, "structural_low": 157.949997, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.028019, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.01951, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.19574, "worst_return": -0.130504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.042131, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.013686, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.161055, "worst_return": -0.192905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.050486, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.12465, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.274411, "worst_return": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 188.669998, "volume": 3818188, "typical_volume": 5438509.15, "trend": 181.25696, "fair_value": 137.883697, "relative_strength": 16.262079, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.324124, "energy": 48.315423, "activity_lines": [ 187.194665, 183.614459, 181.937242, 181.801137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 189.929993, "volume": 4999241, "typical_volume": 5236039.05, "trend": 181.970626, "fair_value": 138.32396, "relative_strength": 15.78923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.191381, "energy": 56.12203, "activity_lines": [ 188.601997, 185.100538, 182.894294, 182.360688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 186.240005, "volume": 4970321, "typical_volume": 5122842.45, "trend": 182.49596, "fair_value": 138.708184, "relative_strength": 15.494822, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.580023, "energy": 49.08302, "activity_lines": [ 188.108, 185.723097, 183.47911, 182.636132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 186.0, "volume": 15165751, "typical_volume": 5459573.0, "trend": 182.781293, "fair_value": 139.152809, "relative_strength": 11.757967, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.064281, "energy": 34.483454, "activity_lines": [ 187.424, 186.225359, 183.970592, 182.862199 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 192.619995, "volume": 6227135, "typical_volume": 5440477.2, "trend": 183.207293, "fair_value": 139.663137, "relative_strength": 14.012079, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.765787, "energy": 37.474551, "activity_lines": [ 188.956665, 187.819114, 185.013311, 183.496954 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }