{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54b71c4d-5495-45e1-8b18-0abc578110a3", "symbol": "6698", "name": "FineMat Applied Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.68, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.775, "architecture_energy": 32.107, "architecture_maturity": 41.05, "architecture_confidence": 60.852, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.9, "rotation_up": 14.56, "upward_expansion": 16.74, "deceleration": 59.81, "rotation_down": 64.32, "downward_expansion": 44.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.084435, 34.139499, 35.551949, 34.854263 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.4, "trend_reference": 34.126764, "distance_from_trend": -0.079901, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.151827, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080576, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.782377, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.030534, "excess_performance": -0.376266, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079901, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058711, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080576, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072157, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.317824, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019177, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.030534, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.617518, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 565339, "relative_activity": 0.152081, "balance": 3.617518, "dry_up": 0.246757, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15176, "annualized_volatility": 0.575977, "from_high_reference": -0.343685, "from_low_reference": 0.13566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.126764, "fair_value_reference": 34.151827, "structural_low": 28.685964, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.048706, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.04665, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.421053, "worst_return": -0.175764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052807, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.103543, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.15568, "worst_return": -0.246875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.237723, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.258378, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.298551, "worst_return": -0.371875, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 34.260973, "fair_value": 34.180485, "relative_strength": -26.096963, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.397465, "energy": 19.347738, "activity_lines": [ 34.053208, 36.408758, 36.253601, 35.236488 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.129131, "volume": 860296, "typical_volume": 3718550.55, "trend": 34.192645, "fair_value": 34.16418, "relative_strength": -34.202572, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.957968, "energy": 30.028446, "activity_lines": [ 32.743044, 35.121799, 35.889698, 35.034434 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 31.4, "volume": 565339, "typical_volume": 3717351.6, "trend": 34.126764, "fair_value": 34.151827, "relative_strength": -31.782377, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.775136, "energy": 32.107085, "activity_lines": [ 32.084435, 34.139499, 35.551949, 34.854263 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }