{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "54e2777e-c29f-460f-841a-9fa0300271a4",
    "symbol": "LOOP",
    "name": "Loop Industries Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -70.396,
    "architecture_energy": 55.201,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.283,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.236,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.19,
        "rotation_up": 17.83,
        "upward_expansion": 8.17,
        "deceleration": 55.4,
        "rotation_down": 65.96,
        "downward_expansion": 83.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.742093,
        0.79398,
        0.976285,
        1.076497
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.6801,
    "trend_reference": 1.16927,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.418355,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.861758,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.6347,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -53.831556,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.468672,
    "excess_performance": -0.656126,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.418355,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067939,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.6347,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.345649,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.538316,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.41381,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.468672,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.182497,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 181611,
      "relative_activity": 0.461702,
      "balance": 0.182497,
      "dry_up": 1.13901,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.328441,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.52623,
      "from_high_reference": -0.677678,
      "from_low_reference": 0.046306
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.16927,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.861758,
      "structural_low": 0.650001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.051471,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048051,
        "regime_survival": 0.878788,
        "best_return": 0.515789,
        "worst_return": -0.282803,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.167702,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057661,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.421053,
        "worst_return": -0.6,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.126316,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.248121,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.46281,
        "worst_return": -0.678832,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.219722,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.338894,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.322727,
        "worst_return": -0.672619,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.172308,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.522059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": -0.225434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.36646,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
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        "return": 0.368421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046154,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 336600.1,
        "trend": 1.291167,
        "fair_value": 2.049014,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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          1.28186
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 308471.6,
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        "stage": 1,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 1.2202,
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        "relative_strength": -46.396375,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -50.044857,
        "energy": 72.834375,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 123620,
        "typical_volume": 356685.4,
        "trend": 1.213977,
        "fair_value": 1.934554,
        "relative_strength": -41.700948,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 353060.3,
        "trend": 1.20631,
        "fair_value": 1.92026,
        "relative_strength": -47.526392,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.628036,
        "energy": 81.970485,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.85428,
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          1.14566,
          1.191477
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.7899,
        "volume": 765509,
        "typical_volume": 382875.7,
        "trend": 1.200973,
        "fair_value": 1.907374,
        "relative_strength": -46.684227,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.574911,
        "energy": 74.016962,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.828627,
          0.929098,
          1.103202,
          1.164612
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.8041,
        "volume": 321086,
        "typical_volume": 385541.15,
        "trend": 1.19411,
        "fair_value": 1.89317,
        "relative_strength": -44.223632,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.129787,
        "energy": 52.939228,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.818447,
          0.885222,
          1.064525,
          1.139007
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.7297,
        "volume": 523919,
        "typical_volume": 402321.3,
        "trend": 1.1846,
        "fair_value": 1.878232,
        "relative_strength": -48.86199,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.760457,
        "energy": 54.78329,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.785193,
          0.838289,
          1.021219,
          1.109045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.6801,
        "volume": 181611,
        "typical_volume": 393351.45,
        "trend": 1.16927,
        "fair_value": 1.861758,
        "relative_strength": -53.831556,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.395738,
        "energy": 55.200578,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.742093,
          0.79398,
          0.976285,
          1.076497
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}