{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54e92031-3957-42bc-9a70-ba62aa435ead", "symbol": "PLPL3", "name": "Plano & Plano Desenvolvimento Imobili\u00e1rio S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.906, "architecture_energy": 88.464, "architecture_maturity": 68.189, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 26.02, "upward_expansion": 20.61, "deceleration": 37.82, "rotation_down": 65.15, "downward_expansion": 96.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.364667, 7.749091, 8.616952, 9.803957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.02, "trend_reference": 11.388333, "distance_from_trend": -0.38358, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.212473, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.373912, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.535219, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.520164, "excess_performance": -0.463116, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.38358, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156592, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.373912, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.318516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.475352, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102602, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.520164, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.031387, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16313900, "relative_activity": 0.975371, "balance": 0.031387, "dry_up": 0.652411, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106618, "annualized_volatility": 0.391618, "from_high_reference": -0.596102, "from_low_reference": 0.035398 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.388333, "fair_value_reference": 11.212473, "structural_low": 6.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.033586, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.031962, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.353943, "worst_return": -0.252384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.27153, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.144338, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.939535, "worst_return": -0.370506, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.491087, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.552935, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.715826, "worst_return": 0.072948, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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7.54, "volume": 10277100, "typical_volume": 17081940.0, "trend": 11.833333, "fair_value": 11.240211, "relative_strength": -45.654074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.633367, "energy": 77.544043, "activity_lines": [ 7.878, 8.147818, 9.190905, 10.390839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.36, "volume": 6985200, "typical_volume": 16635790.0, "trend": 11.643333, "fair_value": 11.227352, "relative_strength": -47.414517, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.462491, "energy": 86.864749, "activity_lines": [ 7.638667, 7.961455, 8.903476, 10.102237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.02, "volume": 16313900, "typical_volume": 16725845.0, "trend": 11.388333, "fair_value": 11.212473, "relative_strength": -47.535219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.905741, "energy": 88.464305, "activity_lines": [ 7.364667, 7.749091, 8.616952, 9.803957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }